Language:English
Madison Keys v Xinyu Wang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 75.85%1.32fair odd
EV +3.15%
Edge +2.32%
Kelly +8.76%
Growth +0.276%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.11%75.58%76.19%80.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.261.251.3686.96%79.21%80.00%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Xinyu Wang (Visit)
Prediction 24.15%4.14fair odd
EV +17.13%
Edge +3.53%
Kelly +4.45%
Growth +0.762%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.70%24.42%23.81%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.723.804.8531.75%26.89%26.32%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 75.85%; Xinyu Wang (Visit): 24.15%. For Xinyu Wang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -9.74%E -8.18%K -51.26%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +17.13%E +3.53%K +4.45%G +0.762% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -10.50%E -8.90%K -58.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +6.26%E +1.42%K +1.84%G +0.115% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.85%E +0.895%K +1.17%G +0.045% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.85%E +0.895%K +1.17%G +0.045% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.85%E +0.895%K +1.17%G +0.045% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.981%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.981%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.22%E -6.80%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -0.981%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -10.50%E -8.90%K -58.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.981%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -11.26%E -9.62%K -66.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -12.77%E -11.11%K -85.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.71%E -5.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.74%E -8.18%K -51.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV +1.64%E +1.22%K +4.82%G +0.079% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -14.99%E -4.26%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.47%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.15%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -17.89%E -5.26%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 09:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.15%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -17.89%E -5.26%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 09:08 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -19.09%E -5.70%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 09:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +0.121%E +0.091%K +0.377%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -19.09%E -5.70%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 09:06 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.61%EV -4.43%E -3.52%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.39%EV -19.34%E -5.79%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -1.40%E -1.07%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -19.58%E -5.88%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 09:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV +1.64%E +1.22%K +4.82%G +0.079% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -20.30%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 08:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +0.879%E +0.661%K +2.66%G +0.023% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -20.30%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:08 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +0.879%E +0.661%K +2.66%G +0.023% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -20.30%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV +0.121%E +0.091%K +0.377%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -20.30%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 09:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -21.03%E -6.43%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -21.03%E -6.43%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 08:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 08:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.879%E +0.661%K +2.66%G +0.023% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.879%E +0.661%K +2.66%G +0.023% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:08 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -1.40%E -1.07%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -22.72%E -7.10%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 09:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -1.40%E -1.07%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -22.72%E -7.10%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 08:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV +3.15%E +2.32%K +8.76%G +0.276% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -22.96%E -7.20%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV +0.121%E +0.091%K +0.377%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -23.92%E -7.60%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 09:02 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV +0.121%E +0.091%K +0.377%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -23.92%E -7.60%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 09:02 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |