La escuela de los momios

Madison Keys v Xinyu Wang

Inicio: 2026-06-16 09:13 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Madison Keys (Local)

Predicción 75.85%1.32momio equitativo
EV +3.15%
Ventaja +2.32%
Kelly +8.76%
Crecimiento +0.276%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.11%75.58%76.19%80.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.261.251.3686.96%79.21%80.00%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Xinyu Wang (Visitante)

Predicción 24.15%4.14momio equitativo
EV +17.13%
Ventaja +3.53%
Kelly +4.45%
Crecimiento +0.762%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.70%24.42%23.81%29.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.723.804.8531.75%26.89%26.32%20.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -9.74%E -8.18%K -51.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +17.13%E +3.53%K +4.45%G +0.762%4.7%2026-06-16 09:10
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -10.50%E -8.90%K -58.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +6.26%E +1.42%K +1.84%G +0.115%7.5%2026-06-16 09:11
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.85%E +0.895%K +1.17%G +0.045%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.85%E +0.895%K +1.17%G +0.045%5.2%2026-06-16 09:11
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.85%E +0.895%K +1.17%G +0.045%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.981%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.981%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.22%E -6.80%K -39.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -0.981%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -10.50%E -8.90%K -58.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.981%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:10
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:10
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:10
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -11.26%E -9.62%K -66.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-16 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -12.77%E -11.11%K -85.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-16 09:11
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:10
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 09:10
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:11
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 09:10
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 09:10
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:10
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.71%E -5.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:10
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 09:10
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 09:10
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.74%E -8.18%K -51.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV +1.64%E +1.22%K +4.82%G +0.079%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -14.99%E -4.26%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.47%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 09:10
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.15%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -17.89%E -5.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:08
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.15%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -17.89%E -5.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:08
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -19.09%E -5.70%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:05
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +0.121%E +0.091%K +0.377%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -19.09%E -5.70%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 09:06
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 72.61%EV -4.43%E -3.52%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.39%EV -19.34%E -5.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 08:59
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -1.40%E -1.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -19.58%E -5.88%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:08
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV +1.64%E +1.22%K +4.82%G +0.079%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -20.30%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 08:59
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +0.879%E +0.661%K +2.66%G +0.023%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -20.30%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:08
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +0.879%E +0.661%K +2.66%G +0.023%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -20.30%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:08
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV +0.121%E +0.091%K +0.377%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -20.30%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 09:04
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -21.03%E -6.43%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 09:10
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -21.03%E -6.43%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 09:10
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 08:58
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 08:59
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.879%E +0.661%K +2.66%G +0.023%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:03
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.879%E +0.661%K +2.66%G +0.023%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:08
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -1.40%E -1.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 09:00
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -22.72%E -7.10%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:04
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -1.40%E -1.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -22.72%E -7.10%K -10.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 08:58
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV +3.15%E +2.32%K +8.76%G +0.276%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -22.96%E -7.20%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV +0.121%E +0.091%K +0.377%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -23.92%E -7.60%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:02
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV +0.121%E +0.091%K +0.377%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -23.92%E -7.60%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:02
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-06-16 09:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-06-16 09:10
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%6.8%2026-06-16 09:10