مدرسة الاحتمالات

Madison Keys v Xinyu Wang

البداية: 2026-06-16 09:13 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Madison Keys (المضيف)

التنبؤ 75.85%1.32السعر العادل
EV +3.15%
الأفضلية +2.32%
Kelly +8.76%
النمو +0.276%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.11%75.58%76.19%80.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.261.251.3686.96%79.21%80.00%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Xinyu Wang (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.15%4.14السعر العادل
EV +17.13%
الأفضلية +3.53%
Kelly +4.45%
النمو +0.762%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.70%24.42%23.81%29.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.723.804.8531.75%26.89%26.32%20.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -9.74%E -8.18%K -51.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +17.13%E +3.53%K +4.45%G +0.762%4.7%2026-06-16 09:10
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -10.50%E -8.90%K -58.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +6.26%E +1.42%K +1.84%G +0.115%7.5%2026-06-16 09:11
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.85%E +0.895%K +1.17%G +0.045%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.85%E +0.895%K +1.17%G +0.045%5.2%2026-06-16 09:11
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.85%E +0.895%K +1.17%G +0.045%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.981%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.981%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.22%E -6.80%K -39.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -0.981%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -10.50%E -8.90%K -58.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.981%E -0.239%K -0.316%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:10
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:10
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:10
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -11.26%E -9.62%K -66.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-16 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -12.77%E -11.11%K -85.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-16 09:11
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:10
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 09:10
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:11
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 09:10
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 09:10
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:10
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.71%E -5.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:10
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 09:10
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 09:10
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.74%E -8.18%K -51.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV +1.64%E +1.22%K +4.82%G +0.079%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -14.99%E -4.26%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.47%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 09:10
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.15%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -17.89%E -5.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:08
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.15%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -17.89%E -5.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:08
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -19.09%E -5.70%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:05
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV +0.121%E +0.091%K +0.377%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -19.09%E -5.70%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 09:06
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 72.61%EV -4.43%E -3.52%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.39%EV -19.34%E -5.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 08:59
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -1.40%E -1.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -19.58%E -5.88%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:08
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV +1.64%E +1.22%K +4.82%G +0.079%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -20.30%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 08:59
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +0.879%E +0.661%K +2.66%G +0.023%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -20.30%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:08
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +0.879%E +0.661%K +2.66%G +0.023%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -20.30%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:08
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV +0.121%E +0.091%K +0.377%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -20.30%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 09:04
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -21.03%E -6.43%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 09:10
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -21.03%E -6.43%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 09:10
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 08:58
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 08:59
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.879%E +0.661%K +2.66%G +0.023%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:03
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.879%E +0.661%K +2.66%G +0.023%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:08
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -1.40%E -1.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -21.51%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 09:00
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV +2.40%E +1.77%K +6.85%G +0.164%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -22.72%E -7.10%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:04
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -1.40%E -1.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -22.72%E -7.10%K -10.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 08:58
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV +3.15%E +2.32%K +8.76%G +0.276%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -22.96%E -7.20%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV +0.121%E +0.091%K +0.377%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -23.92%E -7.60%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:02
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV +0.121%E +0.091%K +0.377%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -23.92%E -7.60%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:02
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-06-16 09:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-06-16 09:10
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%6.8%2026-06-16 09:10