Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Linda Noskova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 56.97%1.76fair odd
EV +1.40%
Edge +0.785%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.52%57.40%56.56%62.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.621.631.7866.67%61.61%61.54%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Linda Noskova (Visit)
Prediction 43.03%2.32fair odd
EV +11.46%
Edge +4.42%
Kelly +7.21%
Growth +0.826%
assuming max odds 2.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.44%42.60%43.44%46.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.252.202.5951.02%44.48%45.45%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 56.97%; Linda Noskova (Visit): 43.03%. For Linda Noskova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +11.46%E +4.42%K +7.21%G +0.826% | 3.1% | 2026-06-21 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +11.46%E +4.42%K +7.21%G +0.826% | 3.1% | 2026-06-21 15:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +10.17%E +3.97%K +6.52%G +0.663% | 2.4% | 2026-06-21 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -12.27%E -7.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +9.74%E +3.82%K +6.28%G +0.612% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 15:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -11.13%E -7.14%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +7.59%E +3.03%K +5.06%G +0.384% | 4.1% | 2026-06-21 15:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.84%E -8.39%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +7.59%E +3.03%K +5.06%G +0.384% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 15:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +5.44%E +2.22%K +3.75%G +0.204% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 15:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -12.27%E -7.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +5.44%E +2.22%K +3.75%G +0.204% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 15:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -13.98%E -9.26%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV +5.44%E +2.22%K +3.75%G +0.204% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 15:37 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -11.13%E -7.14%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV +5.01%E +2.05%K +3.48%G +0.174% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV +5.01%E +2.05%K +3.48%G +0.174% | 5.5% | 2026-06-21 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -13.98%E -9.26%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV +4.14%E +1.71%K +2.92%G +0.121% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 15:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 15:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 15:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 15:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 15:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -13.41%E -8.82%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 15:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -13.41%E -8.82%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 15:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -14.55%E -9.70%K -29.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077% | 8.3% | 2026-06-21 15:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +1.13%E +0.482%K +0.839%G +0.009% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 15:37 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +1.13%E +0.482%K +0.839%G +0.009% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 15:37 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -1.02%E -0.443%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.02%E -0.443%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 15:37 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.86%E -5.53%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.61%E -3.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -7.04%E -3.26%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -8.34%E -3.91%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.02%E -1.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.881%E -0.506%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.881%E -0.506%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -10.49%E -5.04%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -10.49%E -5.04%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV +1.40%E +0.785%K +1.79%G +0.025% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -1.45%E -0.838%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.02%E -1.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.93%E -6.97%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -7.15%E -4.38%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -13.93%E -6.97%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -15.65%E -7.99%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-21 15:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-06-21 15:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 3.0% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 15:40 |