L’École des cotes

Jessica Pegula v Linda Noskova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-21 16:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 56.97%1.76cote équitable
EV +1.40%
Avantage +0.785%
Kelly +1.79%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.52%57.40%56.56%62.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.621.631.7866.67%61.61%61.54%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Linda Noskova (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.03%2.32cote équitable
EV +11.46%
Avantage +4.42%
Kelly +7.21%
Croissance +0.826%

avec la cote maximale 2.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.44%42.60%43.44%46.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.252.202.5951.02%44.48%45.45%38.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +11.46%E +4.42%K +7.21%G +0.826%3.1%2026-06-21 15:20
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +11.46%E +4.42%K +7.21%G +0.826%3.1%2026-06-21 15:19
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +10.17%E +3.97%K +6.52%G +0.663%2.4%2026-06-21 15:20
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -12.27%E -7.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +9.74%E +3.82%K +6.28%G +0.612%4.2%2026-06-21 15:18
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -11.13%E -7.14%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +7.59%E +3.03%K +5.06%G +0.384%4.1%2026-06-21 15:19
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.84%E -8.39%K -24.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +7.59%E +3.03%K +5.06%G +0.384%5.4%2026-06-21 15:19
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +5.44%E +2.22%K +3.75%G +0.204%4.5%2026-06-21 15:19
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -12.27%E -7.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +5.44%E +2.22%K +3.75%G +0.204%5.8%2026-06-21 15:33
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -13.98%E -9.26%K -27.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV +5.44%E +2.22%K +3.75%G +0.204%7.0%2026-06-21 15:37
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -11.13%E -7.14%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV +5.01%E +2.05%K +3.48%G +0.174%5.1%2026-06-21 15:29
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV +5.01%E +2.05%K +3.48%G +0.174%5.5%2026-06-21 15:19
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -13.98%E -9.26%K -27.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV +4.14%E +1.71%K +2.92%G +0.121%7.5%2026-06-21 15:09
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%5.0%2026-06-21 15:33
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%5.4%2026-06-21 15:34
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%5.4%2026-06-21 15:38
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%6.2%2026-06-21 15:38
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%6.2%2026-06-21 15:29
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%6.2%2026-06-21 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -13.41%E -8.82%K -25.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%7.5%2026-06-21 15:14
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -13.41%E -8.82%K -25.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%7.5%2026-06-21 15:14
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -14.55%E -9.70%K -29.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%8.3%2026-06-21 15:14
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +1.13%E +0.482%K +0.839%G +0.009%7.1%2026-06-21 15:37
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +1.13%E +0.482%K +0.839%G +0.009%7.1%2026-06-21 15:37
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -1.02%E -0.443%K -0.784%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 15:19
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.02%E -0.443%K -0.784%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 15:37
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 15:39
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.86%E -5.53%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 15:39
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 15:39
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-21 15:39
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-21 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 15:39
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.61%E -3.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 15:40
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -7.04%E -3.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-21 15:39
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 15:39
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -8.34%E -3.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 15:39
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.02%E -1.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:40
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 15:39
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 15:39
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 15:39
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 15:39
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 15:39
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.881%E -0.506%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 15:40
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.881%E -0.506%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 15:39
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 15:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 15:40
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 15:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 15:39
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-21 15:40
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -10.49%E -5.04%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -10.49%E -5.04%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-21 15:39
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV +1.40%E +0.785%K +1.79%G +0.025%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 15:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -1.45%E -0.838%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 15:39
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.02%E -1.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 15:39
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.93%E -6.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-21 15:39
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -7.15%E -4.38%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -13.93%E -6.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-21 15:40
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -15.65%E -7.99%K -16.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-21 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-06-21 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-06-21 15:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-21 15:40
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-06-21 15:30
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-06-21 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%3.8%2026-06-21 15:40