Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jessica Pegula v Linda Noskova

Inizio: 2026-06-21 16:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

57%

43%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jessica Pegula (Casa)

Previsione 56.97%1.76quota equa

EV +1.40%

Vantaggio +0.785%

Kelly +1.79%

Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

53.52%57.40%56.56%62.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.501.621.631.7866.67%61.61%61.54%56.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Linda Noskova (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.03%2.32quota equa

EV +11.46%

Vantaggio +4.42%

Kelly +7.21%

Crescita +0.826%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

37.44%42.60%43.44%46.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.962.252.202.5951.02%44.48%45.45%38.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jessica Pegula (Casa): 56.97%; Linda Noskova (Trasferta): 43.03%. Per Linda Noskova (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.32. 23 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.59, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +11.46%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%	2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +11.46%E +4.42%K +7.21%G +0.826%	3.1%	2026-06-21 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%	2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +11.46%E +4.42%K +7.21%G +0.826%	3.1%	2026-06-21 15:19
Pinnacle🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.23%G +0.000%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +10.17%E +3.97%K +6.52%G +0.663%	2.4%	2026-06-21 15:20
Bovada🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -12.27%E -7.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +9.74%E +3.82%K +6.28%G +0.612%	4.2%	2026-06-21 15:18
BetAnything🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -11.13%E -7.14%K -19.88%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +7.59%E +3.03%K +5.06%G +0.384%	4.1%	2026-06-21 15:19
betfred_uk🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.84%E -8.39%K -24.23%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +7.59%E +3.03%K +5.06%G +0.384%	5.4%	2026-06-21 15:19
BetUS🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +5.44%E +2.22%K +3.75%G +0.204%	4.5%	2026-06-21 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -12.27%E -7.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +5.44%E +2.22%K +3.75%G +0.204%	5.8%	2026-06-21 15:33
SportsBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -13.98%E -9.26%K -27.42%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV +5.44%E +2.22%K +3.75%G +0.204%	7.0%	2026-06-21 15:37
ReBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -11.13%E -7.14%K -19.88%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV +5.01%E +2.05%K +3.48%G +0.174%	5.1%	2026-06-21 15:29
Marathon Bet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV +5.01%E +2.05%K +3.48%G +0.174%	5.5%	2026-06-21 15:19
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -13.98%E -9.26%K -27.42%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV +4.14%E +1.71%K +2.92%G +0.121%	7.5%	2026-06-21 15:09
1xBet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.23%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%	5.0%	2026-06-21 15:33
Bet Right🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%	5.4%	2026-06-21 15:34
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%	5.4%	2026-06-21 15:38
PlayUp🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%	6.2%	2026-06-21 15:38
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%	6.2%	2026-06-21 15:29
Betway🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%	6.2%	2026-06-21 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -13.41%E -8.82%K -25.79%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%	7.5%	2026-06-21 15:14
Neds🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -13.41%E -8.82%K -25.79%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%	7.5%	2026-06-21 15:14
Coral🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -14.55%E -9.70%K -29.10%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +3.28%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077%	8.3%	2026-06-21 15:14
Betsson🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +1.13%E +0.482%K +0.839%G +0.009%	7.1%	2026-06-21 15:37
NordicBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -11.70%E -7.55%K -21.28%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +1.13%E +0.482%K +0.839%G +0.009%	7.1%	2026-06-21 15:37
TAB🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.23%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -1.02%E -0.443%K -0.784%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-21 15:19
Bet Victor🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.02%E -0.443%K -0.784%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-21 15:37
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-21 15:39
William Hill🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.86%E -5.53%K -14.76%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-21 15:39
FanDuel🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-21 15:39
Unibet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-21 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-21 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-21 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.58%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-21 15:39
DraftKings🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.61%E -3.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-21 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -7.04%E -3.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-06-21 15:39
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-21 15:39
Casumo🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-21 15:39
betPARX🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-21 15:39
ATG (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-21 15:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-21 15:39
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-21 15:39
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.58%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -8.34%E -3.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-21 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.02%E -1.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-21 15:40
Grosvenor🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 15:39
Virgin Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 15:39
BetRivers🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 15:39
TABtouch🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 15:39
Bally Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.77%E -4.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 15:39
Coolbet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.881%E -0.506%K -1.19%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-21 15:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.881%E -0.506%K -1.19%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-21 15:39
BetMGM🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-21 15:39
Paddy Power🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-21 15:40
Sky Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-21 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-21 15:39
Fliff🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.63%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-21 15:40
LeoVegas🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -10.49%E -5.04%K -9.71%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-06-21 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -10.49%E -5.04%K -9.71%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-06-21 15:39
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV +1.40%E +0.785%K +1.79%G +0.025%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-21 15:40
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -1.45%E -0.838%K -1.99%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-06-21 15:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.02%E -1.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-21 15:39
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.93%E -6.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-21 15:39
PMU (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -7.15%E -4.38%K -11.34%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -13.93%E -6.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-21 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -15.65%E -7.99%K -16.30%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-21 15:39

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%	0.6%	2026-06-21 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%	2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%	0.9%	2026-06-21 15:40
Matchbook◎	1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%	0.9%	2026-06-21 15:40
Smarkets◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%	1.9%	2026-06-21 15:30
Novig◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%	3.0%	2026-06-21 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%	3.8%	2026-06-21 15:40