Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 68.77%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 31.23%. For Elina Svitolina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.45. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.22%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV +5.22%E +3.41%K +9.84%G +0.514% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -15.99%E -5.94%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-15 07:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV +0.403%E +0.276%K +0.877%G +0.004% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -9.74%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-16 13:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV +0.403%E +0.276%K +0.877%G +0.004% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -13.49%E -4.87%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV +0.403%E +0.276%K +0.877%G +0.004% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -10.68%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 09:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -10.68%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 09:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 09:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 06:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 09:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 12:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -18.18%E -6.94%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 13:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 04:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 04:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 04:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 13:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 07:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -1.66%E -1.16%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -12.24%E -4.36%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -1.66%E -1.16%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.35%E -1.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 16:41 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.35%E -1.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -12.24%E -4.36%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 07:51 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 13:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 13:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.43%E -3.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 13:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -2.87%E -0.924%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.16%E -5.30%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.16%E -5.30%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.16%E -5.30%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.87%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +3.06%E +0.927%K +1.33%G +0.041% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV +2.75%E +0.835%K +1.20%G +0.033% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -7.87%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.50%E +0.461%K +0.666%G +0.010% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.50%E +0.461%K +0.666%G +0.010% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.62%E -0.516%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.87%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -9.22%E -6.99%K -28.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.57%EV -9.22%E -6.99%K -28.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.06%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.91%E -7.57%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +3.06%E +0.927%K +1.33%G +0.041% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.91%E -7.57%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -9.91%E -7.57%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.60%E -8.15%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.60%E -8.15%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -11.98%E -9.36%K -42.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -7.87%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.65% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.35% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 13:40 |