L’École des cotes

Elina Svitolina v Anna Kalinskaya

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

67 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prévision 68.77%1.45cote équitable
EV +5.22%
Avantage +3.41%
Kelly +9.84%
Croissance +0.514%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.74%68.58%69.12%71.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.391.381.5378.13%72.03%72.46%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Kalinskaya (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.23%3.20cote équitable
EV +3.06%
Avantage +0.927%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.42%31.42%30.88%36.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.942.953.3038.17%34.06%33.90%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (67 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV +5.22%E +3.41%K +9.84%G +0.514%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -15.99%E -5.94%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 07:00
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV +0.403%E +0.276%K +0.877%G +0.004%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -9.74%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 13:38
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV +0.403%E +0.276%K +0.877%G +0.004%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -13.49%E -4.87%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV +0.403%E +0.276%K +0.877%G +0.004%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -10.68%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:41
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -10.68%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:40
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 09:40
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 06:20
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 09:40
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:33
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 12:50
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -18.18%E -6.94%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:39
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 12:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 04:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 04:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 04:40
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:30
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 07:21
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 13:40
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -1.66%E -1.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -12.24%E -4.36%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 13:30
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -1.66%E -1.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.35%E -1.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 16:41
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.35%E -1.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 16:40
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:40
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:40
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -12.24%E -4.36%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 07:51
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:40
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 13:10
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 13:29
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 13:40
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 13:40
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.43%E -3.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:39
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -2.87%E -0.924%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:40
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.16%E -5.30%K -20.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.16%E -5.30%K -20.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.16%E -5.30%K -20.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.87%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +3.06%E +0.927%K +1.33%G +0.041%4.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV +2.75%E +0.835%K +1.20%G +0.033%5.0%2026-06-16 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -7.87%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 13:40
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.50%E +0.461%K +0.666%G +0.010%6.0%2026-06-16 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.50%E +0.461%K +0.666%G +0.010%6.0%2026-06-16 13:40
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.62%E -0.516%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.87%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 13:40
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -9.22%E -6.99%K -28.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 13:40
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.57%EV -9.22%E -6.99%K -28.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.06%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-16 13:40
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.91%E -7.57%K -31.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +3.06%E +0.927%K +1.33%G +0.041%6.6%2026-06-16 13:40
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.91%E -7.57%K -31.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -9.91%E -7.57%K -31.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-16 13:40
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.60%E -8.15%K -35.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.60%E -8.15%K -35.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 13:40
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -11.98%E -9.36%K -42.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -7.87%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-16 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-16 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-06-16 13:40
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-06-16 13:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-06-16 13:40
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 70.65%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.35%8.9%2026-06-16 13:40