La escuela de los momios

Elina Svitolina v Anna Kalinskaya

Inicio: 2026-06-16 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

67 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Predicción 68.77%1.45momio equitativo
EV +5.22%
Ventaja +3.41%
Kelly +9.84%
Crecimiento +0.514%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.74%68.58%69.12%71.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.391.381.5378.13%72.03%72.46%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Predicción 31.23%3.20momio equitativo
EV +3.06%
Ventaja +0.927%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.041%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.42%31.42%30.88%36.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.942.953.3038.17%34.06%33.90%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (67 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV +5.22%E +3.41%K +9.84%G +0.514%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -15.99%E -5.94%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 07:00
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV +0.403%E +0.276%K +0.877%G +0.004%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -9.74%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 13:38
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV +0.403%E +0.276%K +0.877%G +0.004%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -13.49%E -4.87%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV +0.403%E +0.276%K +0.877%G +0.004%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -10.68%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:41
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -10.68%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:40
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 09:40
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 06:20
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 09:40
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:33
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 12:50
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -0.284%E -0.196%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -18.18%E -6.94%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:39
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 12:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 04:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 04:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 04:40
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:30
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 07:21
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -0.972%E -0.675%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 13:40
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -1.66%E -1.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -12.24%E -4.36%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 13:30
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -1.66%E -1.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.35%E -1.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 16:41
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.35%E -1.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.68%E -5.81%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 16:40
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:40
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:40
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -12.24%E -4.36%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 07:51
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.55%E -4.48%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:40
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 13:10
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.12%E -5.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 13:29
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 13:40
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 13:40
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:40
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.43%E -3.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:39
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -2.87%E -0.924%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:40
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.16%E -5.30%K -20.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.16%E -5.30%K -20.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.16%E -5.30%K -20.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.87%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +3.06%E +0.927%K +1.33%G +0.041%4.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV +2.75%E +0.835%K +1.20%G +0.033%5.0%2026-06-16 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -7.87%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 13:40
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.50%E +0.461%K +0.666%G +0.010%6.0%2026-06-16 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.50%E +0.461%K +0.666%G +0.010%6.0%2026-06-16 13:40
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.62%E -0.516%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.87%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 13:40
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -9.22%E -6.99%K -28.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 13:40
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.57%EV -9.22%E -6.99%K -28.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.06%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-16 13:40
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.91%E -7.57%K -31.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +3.06%E +0.927%K +1.33%G +0.041%6.6%2026-06-16 13:40
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.91%E -7.57%K -31.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -9.91%E -7.57%K -31.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-16 13:40
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.60%E -8.15%K -35.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.60%E -8.15%K -35.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 13:40
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -11.98%E -9.36%K -42.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -7.87%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-16 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-16 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-06-16 13:40
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-06-16 13:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-06-16 13:40
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 70.65%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.35%8.9%2026-06-16 13:40