Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clara Tauson v Diane Parry

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 14:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clara Tauson (Local)

Prediction 38.08%2.63fair odd
EV +21.85%
Edge +6.83%
Kelly +9.93%
Growth +2.17%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.36%38.04%37.50%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.432.403.2047.62%41.17%41.67%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diane Parry (Visit)

Prediction 61.92%1.61fair odd
EV +9.60%
Edge +5.42%
Kelly +12.47%
Growth +1.20%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%61.96%62.50%70.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.551.511.7775.19%64.40%66.23%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clara Tauson (Local): 38.08%; Diane Parry (Visit): 61.92%. For Clara Tauson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +21.85%E +6.83%K +9.93%G +2.17%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -17.65%E -13.27%K -53.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +19.95%E +6.33%K +9.28%G +1.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -15.17%E -11.07%K -41.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 14:00
DraftKings🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +16.90%E +5.51%K +8.17%G +1.38%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -15.17%E -11.07%K -41.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +9.67%E +3.36%K +5.14%G +0.497%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV +7.00%E +2.49%K +3.87%G +0.271%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 14:00
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +6.62%E +2.36%K +3.68%G +0.244%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -11.45%E -8.01%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -12.07%E -8.50%K -28.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -12.07%E -8.50%K -28.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.047%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.047%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -12.69%E -9.00%K -30.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.047%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.909%E +0.343%K +0.551%G +0.005%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 14:00
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.994%E -0.382%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.994%E -0.382%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -0.994%E -0.382%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-16 14:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:00
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:59
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:00
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 14:00
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -11.45%E -8.01%K -26.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-16 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -15.17%E -11.07%K -41.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-16 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 14:00
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.51%E -4.47%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 14:00
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-16 14:00
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%3.6%2026-06-16 13:40
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +3.41%E +2.04%K +5.09%G +0.173%5.3%2026-06-16 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%EV -16.99%E -7.79%K -14.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-16 13:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -17.75%E -8.22%K -15.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV +4.65%E +2.75%K +6.73%G +0.313%5.5%2026-06-16 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -18.13%E -8.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +7.74%E +4.45%K +10.46%G +0.810%4.0%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -18.13%E -8.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%4.7%2026-06-16 12:50
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -18.13%E -8.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +1.55%E +0.945%K +2.42%G +0.038%7.5%2026-06-16 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -18.13%E -8.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +1.55%E +0.945%K +2.42%G +0.038%7.5%2026-06-16 12:50
ReBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -18.51%E -8.65%K -16.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%4.9%2026-06-16 12:50
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -18.51%E -8.65%K -16.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +5.88%E +3.44%K +8.29%G +0.488%5.2%2026-06-16 13:40
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -19.27%E -9.09%K -17.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +7.74%E +4.45%K +10.46%G +0.810%4.6%2026-06-16 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -19.27%E -9.09%K -17.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +5.27%E +3.10%K +7.52%G +0.396%6.0%2026-06-16 12:50
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -19.65%E -9.31%K -17.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV +7.74%E +4.45%K +10.46%G +0.810%4.9%2026-06-16 08:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +9.60%E +5.42%K +12.47%G +1.20%4.1%2026-06-16 14:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +7.12%E +4.12%K +9.76%G +0.695%5.4%2026-06-16 13:00
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +7.12%E +4.12%K +9.76%G +0.695%5.4%2026-06-16 08:10
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%5.8%2026-06-16 10:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%5.8%2026-06-16 10:10
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +5.88%E +3.44%K +8.29%G +0.488%6.1%2026-06-16 13:30
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +5.88%E +3.44%K +8.29%G +0.488%6.1%2026-06-16 08:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +5.27%E +3.10%K +7.52%G +0.396%6.4%2026-06-16 12:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV +4.03%E +2.40%K +5.92%G +0.239%7.1%2026-06-16 13:00
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +2.17%E +1.31%K +3.34%G +0.072%8.2%2026-06-16 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-06-16 14:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-06-16 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-06-16 14:00
Novig2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%4.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%6.4%2026-06-16 14:00