L’École des cotes

Clara Tauson v Diane Parry

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 14:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Clara Tauson (Local)

Prévision 38.08%2.63cote équitable
EV +21.85%
Avantage +6.83%
Kelly +9.93%
Croissance +2.17%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.36%38.04%37.50%45.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.432.403.2047.62%41.17%41.67%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diane Parry (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.92%1.61cote équitable
EV +9.60%
Avantage +5.42%
Kelly +12.47%
Croissance +1.20%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.26%61.96%62.50%70.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.551.511.7775.19%64.40%66.23%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +21.85%E +6.83%K +9.93%G +2.17%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -17.65%E -13.27%K -53.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +19.95%E +6.33%K +9.28%G +1.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -15.17%E -11.07%K -41.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 14:00
DraftKings3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +16.90%E +5.51%K +8.17%G +1.38%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -15.17%E -11.07%K -41.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +9.67%E +3.36%K +5.14%G +0.497%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 14:00
Coolbet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV +7.00%E +2.49%K +3.87%G +0.271%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 14:00
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +6.62%E +2.36%K +3.68%G +0.244%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 14:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -11.45%E -8.01%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -12.07%E -8.50%K -28.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -12.07%E -8.50%K -28.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.047%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:00
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.047%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -12.69%E -9.00%K -30.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.047%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 14:00
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.909%E +0.343%K +0.551%G +0.005%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 14:00
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.994%E -0.382%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.994%E -0.382%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 14:00
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -0.994%E -0.382%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-16 14:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:00
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:00
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:59
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:00
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 14:00
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -11.45%E -8.01%K -26.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-16 14:01
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -15.17%E -11.07%K -41.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-16 14:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 14:00
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.51%E -4.47%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 14:00
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 14:00
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-16 14:00
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%3.6%2026-06-16 13:40
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +3.41%E +2.04%K +5.09%G +0.173%5.3%2026-06-16 13:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 13:59
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%EV -16.99%E -7.79%K -14.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-16 13:58
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -17.75%E -8.22%K -15.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV +4.65%E +2.75%K +6.73%G +0.313%5.5%2026-06-16 13:54
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -18.13%E -8.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +7.74%E +4.45%K +10.46%G +0.810%4.0%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -18.13%E -8.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%4.7%2026-06-16 12:50
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -18.13%E -8.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +1.55%E +0.945%K +2.42%G +0.038%7.5%2026-06-16 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -18.13%E -8.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +1.55%E +0.945%K +2.42%G +0.038%7.5%2026-06-16 12:50
ReBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -18.51%E -8.65%K -16.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%4.9%2026-06-16 12:50
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -18.51%E -8.65%K -16.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +5.88%E +3.44%K +8.29%G +0.488%5.2%2026-06-16 13:40
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -19.27%E -9.09%K -17.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +7.74%E +4.45%K +10.46%G +0.810%4.6%2026-06-16 13:50
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -19.27%E -9.09%K -17.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +5.27%E +3.10%K +7.52%G +0.396%6.0%2026-06-16 12:50
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -19.65%E -9.31%K -17.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV +7.74%E +4.45%K +10.46%G +0.810%4.9%2026-06-16 08:10
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +9.60%E +5.42%K +12.47%G +1.20%4.1%2026-06-16 14:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +7.12%E +4.12%K +9.76%G +0.695%5.4%2026-06-16 13:00
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +7.12%E +4.12%K +9.76%G +0.695%5.4%2026-06-16 08:10
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%5.8%2026-06-16 10:10
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%5.8%2026-06-16 10:10
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +5.88%E +3.44%K +8.29%G +0.488%6.1%2026-06-16 13:30
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +5.88%E +3.44%K +8.29%G +0.488%6.1%2026-06-16 08:19
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +5.27%E +3.10%K +7.52%G +0.396%6.4%2026-06-16 12:50
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV +4.03%E +2.40%K +5.92%G +0.239%7.1%2026-06-16 13:00
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +2.17%E +1.31%K +3.34%G +0.072%8.2%2026-06-16 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-06-16 14:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-06-16 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-06-16 14:00
Novig2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%4.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%6.4%2026-06-16 14:00