La escuela de los momios

Clara Tauson v Diane Parry

Inicio: 2026-06-16 14:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Clara Tauson (Local)

Predicción 38.08%2.63momio equitativo
EV +21.85%
Ventaja +6.83%
Kelly +9.93%
Crecimiento +2.17%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.36%38.04%37.50%45.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.432.403.2047.62%41.17%41.67%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Diane Parry (Visitante)

Predicción 61.92%1.61momio equitativo
EV +9.60%
Ventaja +5.42%
Kelly +12.47%
Crecimiento +1.20%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.26%61.96%62.50%70.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.551.511.7775.19%64.40%66.23%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +21.85%E +6.83%K +9.93%G +2.17%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -17.65%E -13.27%K -53.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +19.95%E +6.33%K +9.28%G +1.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -15.17%E -11.07%K -41.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 14:00
DraftKings3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +16.90%E +5.51%K +8.17%G +1.38%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -15.17%E -11.07%K -41.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +9.67%E +3.36%K +5.14%G +0.497%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 14:00
Coolbet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV +7.00%E +2.49%K +3.87%G +0.271%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 14:00
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +6.62%E +2.36%K +3.68%G +0.244%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 14:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -11.45%E -8.01%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -12.07%E -8.50%K -28.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -12.07%E -8.50%K -28.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +4.72%E +1.72%K +2.70%G +0.127%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.047%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:00
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.047%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -12.69%E -9.00%K -30.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.047%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 14:00
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.909%E +0.343%K +0.551%G +0.005%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 14:00
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.994%E -0.382%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.994%E -0.382%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 14:00
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -0.994%E -0.382%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -13.31%E -9.51%K -33.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-16 14:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:00
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.30%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:00
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:59
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:00
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 14:00
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -11.45%E -8.01%K -26.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-16 14:01
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -15.17%E -11.07%K -41.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-16 14:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.55%E -0.972%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 14:00
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.51%E -4.47%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 14:00
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 14:00
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-16 14:00
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%3.6%2026-06-16 13:40
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +3.41%E +2.04%K +5.09%G +0.173%5.3%2026-06-16 13:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 13:59
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%EV -16.99%E -7.79%K -14.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-16 13:58
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -17.75%E -8.22%K -15.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV +4.65%E +2.75%K +6.73%G +0.313%5.5%2026-06-16 13:54
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -18.13%E -8.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +7.74%E +4.45%K +10.46%G +0.810%4.0%2026-06-16 14:00
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -18.13%E -8.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%4.7%2026-06-16 12:50
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -18.13%E -8.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +1.55%E +0.945%K +2.42%G +0.038%7.5%2026-06-16 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -18.13%E -8.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +1.55%E +0.945%K +2.42%G +0.038%7.5%2026-06-16 12:50
ReBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -18.51%E -8.65%K -16.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%4.9%2026-06-16 12:50
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -18.51%E -8.65%K -16.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +5.88%E +3.44%K +8.29%G +0.488%5.2%2026-06-16 13:40
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -19.27%E -9.09%K -17.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +7.74%E +4.45%K +10.46%G +0.810%4.6%2026-06-16 13:50
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -19.27%E -9.09%K -17.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +5.27%E +3.10%K +7.52%G +0.396%6.0%2026-06-16 12:50
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -19.65%E -9.31%K -17.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV +7.74%E +4.45%K +10.46%G +0.810%4.9%2026-06-16 08:10
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +9.60%E +5.42%K +12.47%G +1.20%4.1%2026-06-16 14:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +7.12%E +4.12%K +9.76%G +0.695%5.4%2026-06-16 13:00
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +7.12%E +4.12%K +9.76%G +0.695%5.4%2026-06-16 08:10
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%5.8%2026-06-16 10:10
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +6.50%E +3.78%K +9.03%G +0.588%5.8%2026-06-16 10:10
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +5.88%E +3.44%K +8.29%G +0.488%6.1%2026-06-16 13:30
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +5.88%E +3.44%K +8.29%G +0.488%6.1%2026-06-16 08:19
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +5.27%E +3.10%K +7.52%G +0.396%6.4%2026-06-16 12:50
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV +4.03%E +2.40%K +5.92%G +0.239%7.1%2026-06-16 13:00
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -20.03%E -9.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +2.17%E +1.31%K +3.34%G +0.072%8.2%2026-06-16 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-06-16 14:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-06-16 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-06-16 14:00
Novig2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%4.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%6.4%2026-06-16 14:00