Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.31
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Victoria Mboko (Local): 74.04%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visit): 25.96%. For Nikola Bartunkova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.24%E +0.319%K +0.429%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.51%EV -3.01%E -2.30%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.49%EV -0.574%E -0.150%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.45%E -5.96%K -29.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 17:36 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.45%E -5.96%K -29.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 17:18 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.17%E -0.850%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.17%E -0.850%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 17:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:18 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.9% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.84% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.16% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |