La escuela de los momios

Victoria Mboko v Nikola Bartunkova

Inicio: 2026-05-26 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Predicción 74.04%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -2.30%
Kelly -9.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.34%73.93%74.09%75.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.291.3180.00%77.77%77.52%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante)

Predicción 25.96%3.85momio equitativo
EV +1.24%
Ventaja +0.319%
Kelly +0.429%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.56%26.07%25.91%27.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.633.603.9029.41%27.58%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.24%E +0.319%K +0.429%G +0.005%4.4%2026-05-26 17:20
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 74.51%EV -3.01%E -2.30%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.49%EV -0.574%E -0.150%K -0.203%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-26 17:50
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 17:50
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 17:19
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.45%E -5.96%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.483%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 17:36
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 17:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.45%E -5.96%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:18
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.17%E -0.850%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 17:50
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.17%E -0.850%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 17:50
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 17:20
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 17:50
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 17:30
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 17:20
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 17:19
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 17:20
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 17:49
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 17:20
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 17:19
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 17:19
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 17:19
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 17:19
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:19
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:19
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:19
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:19
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:19
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 17:19
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 17:49
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 17:19
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 17:20
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:19
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 17:20
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 17:19
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:20
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:19
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:20
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:20
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:19
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 17:38
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 17:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-26 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-26 17:30
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-26 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-05-26 17:50
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-05-26 17:50
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 75.84%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.16%2.2%2026-05-26 17:50