Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Victoria Mboko v Nikola Bartunkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Prévision 74.04%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -2.30%
Kelly -9.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.34%73.93%74.09%75.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.291.291.3180.00%77.77%77.52%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.96%3.85cote équitable
EV +1.24%
Avantage +0.319%
Kelly +0.429%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.56%26.07%25.91%27.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.633.603.9029.41%27.58%27.78%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Victoria Mboko (Local) : 74.04% ; Nikola Bartunkova (Visiteur) : 25.96%. Pour Nikola Bartunkova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.85. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +1.24%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.24%E +0.319%K +0.429%G +0.005%4.4%2026-05-26 17:20
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.51%EV -3.01%E -2.30%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.49%EV -0.574%E -0.150%K -0.203%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-26 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 17:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.45%E -5.96%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.35%E -0.356%K -0.483%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 17:36
Codere (IT)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.45%E -5.96%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.65%E -0.707%K -0.964%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:18
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.17%E -0.850%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.17%E -0.850%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 17:20
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 17:50
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 17:20
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 17:19
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 17:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 17:19
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 17:19
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.97%E -4.70%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 17:19
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:19
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:19
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:19
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 17:19
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 17:49
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 17:19
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 17:20
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:19
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 17:20
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 17:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:20
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.23%E -4.08%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.75%E -2.88%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:19
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 17:38
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.49%E -3.48%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 17:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-26 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-26 17:30
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-26 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-05-26 17:50
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-05-26 17:50
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 75.84%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.16%2.2%2026-05-26 17:50