Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.10
assuming max odds 1.31
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Solana Sierra (Local): 25.56%; Sorana Cirstea (Visit): 74.44%. For Solana Sierra (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.79%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.79%E +1.17%K +1.54%G +0.074% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +2.23%E +0.558%K +0.744%G +0.017% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.23%E +0.558%K +0.744%G +0.017% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 12:51 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.23%E +0.558%K +0.744%G +0.017% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 12:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV +0.188%E +0.048%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.323%E -0.083%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 12:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -1.60%E -0.416%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 12:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -2.37%E -0.620%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 12:57 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.20%E -4.92%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.20%E -4.92%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -2.48%E -1.89%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.44%E -6.86%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 12:58 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 12:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 12:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 12:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 12:57 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 12:57 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 12:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -11.57%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -11.57%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.66%E -4.74%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 0.1% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 0.1% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 0.1% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.91% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |