Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Solana Sierra v Sorana Cirstea

Início: 2026-05-29 13:04 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Solana Sierra (Local)

Previsão 25.56%3.91odd justa
EV +4.79%
Vantagem +1.17%
Kelly +1.54%
Crescimento +0.074%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.36%25.70%25.34%28.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.703.754.1030.30%27.05%26.67%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)

Previsão 74.44%1.34odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -1.89%
Kelly -8.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.74%74.30%74.66%76.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.231.271.271.3181.30%78.44%78.74%76.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Solana Sierra (Local): 25.56%; Sorana Cirstea (Visitante): 74.44%. Para Solana Sierra (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.91. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.79%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.79%E +1.17%K +1.54%G +0.074%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +2.23%E +0.558%K +0.744%G +0.017%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-29 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.23%E +0.558%K +0.744%G +0.017%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 12:51
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.23%E +0.558%K +0.744%G +0.017%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 12:54
Pinnacle🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV +0.188%E +0.048%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.323%E -0.083%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 12:54
NetBet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -1.60%E -0.416%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 12:55
1xBet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -2.37%E -0.620%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 13:00
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 12:59
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 12:57
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.20%E -4.92%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.20%E -4.92%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 12:59
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 13:00
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 12:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -2.48%E -1.89%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 13:00
GTbets🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 12:55
PlayUp🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 13:00
Fliff🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.44%E -6.86%K -36.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 13:00
DraftKings🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 13:00
MyBookie.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 12:58
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 12:58
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 12:58
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 12:59
theScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 12:59
Everygame🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 12:59
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 12:57
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 12:57
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 12:57
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 12:58
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 13:00
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 13:00
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 13:00
NordicBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -11.57%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 13:00
Betsson🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -11.57%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.66%E -4.74%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 12:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%0.1%2026-05-29 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%0.1%2026-05-29 13:00
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%0.1%2026-05-29 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-29 13:00
Novig3.98I 25.13%NM 24.91%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.09%0.9%2026-05-29 12:59
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%3.1%2026-05-29 13:00