L’École des cotes

Solana Sierra v Sorana Cirstea

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 13:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Solana Sierra (Local)

Prévision 25.56%3.91cote équitable
EV +4.79%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.54%
Croissance +0.074%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.36%25.70%25.34%28.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.754.1030.30%27.05%26.67%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sorana Cirstea (Visiteur)

Prévision 74.44%1.34cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -8.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.74%74.30%74.66%76.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.231.271.271.3181.30%78.44%78.74%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.79%E +1.17%K +1.54%G +0.074%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +2.23%E +0.558%K +0.744%G +0.017%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-29 13:00
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.23%E +0.558%K +0.744%G +0.017%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 12:51
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.23%E +0.558%K +0.744%G +0.017%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 12:54
Pinnacle3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV +0.188%E +0.048%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.323%E -0.083%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 12:54
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -1.60%E -0.416%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 12:55
1xBet3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -2.37%E -0.620%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 13:00
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 13:00
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 13:00
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 12:59
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 12:59
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.88%E -0.758%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 12:57
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:55
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Bally Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:00
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.20%E -4.92%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 12:59
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.20%E -4.92%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 12:59
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 13:00
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 12:59
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 12:54
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -2.48%E -1.89%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 13:00
GTbets3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -5.46%E -4.30%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 12:55
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 13:00
Fliff3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.44%E -6.86%K -36.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 13:00
DraftKings3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 13:00
MyBookie.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 12:58
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 12:58
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.95%E -5.56%K -27.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 12:58
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 12:59
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 12:59
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 12:59
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 12:57
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 12:57
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 12:57
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 12:58
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 13:00
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 13:00
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 12:59
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 13:00
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 13:00
NordicBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -11.57%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 13:00
Betsson3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -11.57%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -3.97%E -3.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 12:59
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.66%E -4.74%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.23%E -2.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%0.1%2026-05-29 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%0.1%2026-05-29 13:00
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%0.1%2026-05-29 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-29 13:00
Novig3.98I 25.13%NM 24.91%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.09%0.9%2026-05-29 12:59
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%3.1%2026-05-29 13:00