Language:English
Sinja Kraus v Belinda Bencic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sinja Kraus (Local)
Prediction 24.14%4.14fair odd
EV +0.403%
Edge +0.097%
Kelly +0.128%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.93%24.35%24.19%26.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.583.933.954.1627.93%25.42%25.32%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Belinda Bencic (Visit)
Prediction 75.86%1.32fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -7.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.51%75.65%75.81%77.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.81%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sinja Kraus (Local): 24.14%; Belinda Bencic (Visit): 75.86%. For Sinja Kraus (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.403%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.39%EV +0.403%E +0.097%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.61%EV -3.65%E -2.88%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 09:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.403%E +0.097%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 13:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.403%E +0.097%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 13:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.65%E -2.88%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 06:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.93%E -4.78%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.45%E -6.10%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 03:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.25%E -0.556%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 09:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.22%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.65%E -2.88%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.93%E -4.78%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 09:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.45%E -6.10%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.45%E -6.10%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.65%E -2.88%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 09:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.93%E -4.78%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 08:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 06:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 06:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 06:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -7.56%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -7.56%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -7.80%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 09:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 09:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 02:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 06:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 09:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 06:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 06:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 06:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 06:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 22:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 15:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -13.60%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 09:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 1.5% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| Novig◎ | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.52% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.48% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 09:40 |