La escuela de los momios

Sinja Kraus v Belinda Bencic

Inicio: 2026-05-24 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sinja Kraus (Local)

Predicción 24.14%4.14momio equitativo
EV +0.403%
Ventaja +0.097%
Kelly +0.128%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.93%24.35%24.19%26.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.583.933.954.1627.93%25.42%25.32%24.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Predicción 75.86%1.32momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -7.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.51%75.65%75.81%77.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.81%80.00%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.16I 24.04%NM 23.39%EV +0.403%E +0.097%K +0.128%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.61%EV -3.65%E -2.88%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 09:40
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.403%E +0.097%K +0.128%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 13:29
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.403%E +0.097%K +0.128%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 13:29
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.65%E -2.88%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 06:20
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 08:50
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 08:50
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.93%E -4.78%K -24.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 07:40
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.45%E -6.10%K -33.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 03:29
BetAnything4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.25%E -0.556%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 09:30
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.22%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 09:50
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.65%E -2.88%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 08:49
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 09:50
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.93%E -4.78%K -24.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:49
GTbets4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:39
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 08:50
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.45%E -6.10%K -33.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.45%E -6.10%K -33.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 10:46
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:49
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 07:40
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.65%E -2.88%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:29
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 08:50
MyBookie.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 08:49
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 11:19
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.93%E -4.78%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 08:50
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:50
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:49
PointsBet (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 06:20
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 06:20
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 06:20
NordicBet3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -7.56%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 08:50
Betsson3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -7.56%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 08:49
DraftKings3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -7.80%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 09:39
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 02:49
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 09:40
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 09:39
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 06:20
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 06:20
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 06:20
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 06:20
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 22:09
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:30
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 15:38
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -13.60%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 08:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-05-24 09:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-05-24 09:50
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-05-24 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-05-24 09:40
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-05-24 09:50
Novig4.13I 24.21%NM 23.52%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.48%3.0%2026-05-24 09:40