L’École des cotes

Sinja Kraus v Belinda Bencic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sinja Kraus (Local)

Prévision 24.14%4.14cote équitable
EV +0.403%
Avantage +0.097%
Kelly +0.128%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.93%24.35%24.19%26.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.583.933.954.1627.93%25.42%25.32%24.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Belinda Bencic (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.86%1.32cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -7.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.51%75.65%75.81%77.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.81%80.00%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.16I 24.04%NM 23.39%EV +0.403%E +0.097%K +0.128%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.61%EV -3.65%E -2.88%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 09:40
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.403%E +0.097%K +0.128%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 13:29
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.403%E +0.097%K +0.128%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 13:29
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.65%E -2.88%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 06:20
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 08:50
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:50
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 08:50
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.93%E -4.78%K -24.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 07:40
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.45%E -6.10%K -33.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 03:29
BetAnything4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.25%E -0.556%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 09:30
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.22%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 09:50
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.65%E -2.88%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 08:49
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 09:50
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.93%E -4.78%K -24.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:49
GTbets4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:39
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 08:50
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.45%E -6.10%K -33.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.45%E -6.10%K -33.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 10:46
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:49
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 07:40
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.65%E -2.88%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 09:29
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 08:50
MyBookie.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 08:49
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 11:19
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.93%E -4.78%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 08:50
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:50
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:49
PointsBet (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 06:20
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 06:20
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 06:20
NordicBet3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -7.56%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 08:50
Betsson3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -7.56%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 08:49
DraftKings3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -7.80%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.41%E -3.50%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 09:39
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 02:49
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 09:40
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 09:39
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 06:20
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 06:20
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 06:20
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 06:20
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 22:09
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:30
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 15:38
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -13.60%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 08:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-05-24 09:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-05-24 09:50
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-05-24 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-05-24 09:40
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-05-24 09:50
Novig4.13I 24.21%NM 23.52%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.48%3.0%2026-05-24 09:40