Language:English
Sara Bejlek v Iga Swiatek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Prediction 6.96%14.37fair odd
EV +32.27%
Edge +1.70%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.578%
assuming max odds 19.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.05%7.07%7.28%9.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5013.7113.3319.0010.53%7.30%7.50%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visit)
Prediction 93.04%1.07fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -81.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.30%92.93%92.72%94.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.021.021.04100.00%98.01%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sara Bejlek (Local): 6.96%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 93.04%. For Sara Bejlek (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.37. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +32.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +32.27%E +1.70%K +1.79%G +0.578% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +32.27%E +1.70%K +1.79%G +0.578% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +25.30%E +1.41%K +1.49%G +0.377% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +18.34%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.210% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +18.34%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.210% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +18.34%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.210% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +18.34%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.210% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +11.38%E +0.711%K +0.759%G +0.086% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +11.38%E +0.711%K +0.759%G +0.086% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -6.96%E -6.96%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 10:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 15.87I 6.30%NM 6.15%EV +10.48%E +0.660%K +0.705%G +0.074% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.85%EV -3.24%E -3.12%K -81.00%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +7.90%E +0.510%K +0.545%G +0.043% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 10:02 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -0.801%E -0.056%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -0.801%E -0.056%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:58 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 10:08 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV -4.28%E -0.311%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -6.02%E -0.446%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 13.33I 7.50%NM 7.11%EV -7.21%E -0.541%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.89%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 09:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:06 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 12.95I 7.72%NM 7.37%EV -9.85%E -0.761%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.63%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 10:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.98%E -1.04%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.98%E -1.04%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -12.98%E -1.04%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -15.63%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -15.63%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.24%E -3.12%K -81.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 10:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 10:08 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -19.94%E -1.73%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 10:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.91%E -2.56%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -33.87%E -3.56%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-27 10:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.99% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 96.01% | 0.2% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02% | 1.3% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |
| Novig◎ | 18.52I 5.40%NM 5.17% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.83% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 10:10 |