مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sara Bejlek v Iga Swiatek

البداية: 2026-05-27 10:13 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sara Bejlek (المضيف)

التنبؤ 6.96%14.37السعر العادل
EV +32.27%
الأفضلية +1.70%
Kelly +1.79%
النمو +0.578%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 19.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
5.05%7.07%7.28%9.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
9.5013.7113.3319.0010.53%7.30%7.50%5.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Iga Swiatek (الضيف)

التنبؤ 93.04%1.07السعر العادل
EV -3.24%
الأفضلية -3.12%
Kelly -81.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
90.30%92.93%92.72%94.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.021.021.04100.00%98.01%98.04%96.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +32.27%E +1.70%K +1.79%G +0.578%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 10:10
Winamax (FR)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +32.27%E +1.70%K +1.79%G +0.578%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 10:10
theScore Bet18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +25.30%E +1.41%K +1.49%G +0.377%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-27 10:10
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +18.34%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.210%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 10:10
DraftKings17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +18.34%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.210%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 10:10
Unibet (FR)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +18.34%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.210%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 10:00
Bovada17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +18.34%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.210%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 10:09
Svenska Spel16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +11.38%E +0.711%K +0.759%G +0.086%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:10
NetBet (FR)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +11.38%E +0.711%K +0.759%G +0.086%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -6.96%E -6.96%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 10:00
Pinnacle15.87I 6.30%NM 6.15%EV +10.48%E +0.660%K +0.705%G +0.074%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.85%EV -3.24%E -3.12%K -81.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 10:09
1xBet15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +7.90%E +0.510%K +0.545%G +0.043%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 10:02
Codere (IT)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 10:00
Betclic (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 10:09
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:09
Unibet (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
betPARX15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
ATG (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Coolbet14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -0.801%E -0.056%K -0.060%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 10:09
Marathon Bet14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -0.801%E -0.056%K -0.060%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:59
Bet Right14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 10:09
Unibet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 10:10
Casumo14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:59
Unibet (NL)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:58
TABtouch14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:58
Hard Rock Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 10:08
MyBookie.ag13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV -4.28%E -0.311%K -0.336%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:09
NordicBet13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -6.02%E -0.446%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 10:10
GTbets13.33I 7.50%NM 7.11%EV -7.21%E -0.541%K -0.584%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.89%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 09:59
FanDuel13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 10:10
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Fanatics13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:09
Betsson13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
William Hill13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:06
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Betr (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 10:09
BetAnything12.95I 7.72%NM 7.37%EV -9.85%E -0.761%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.63%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 10:04
Neds12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.98%E -1.04%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.98%E -1.04%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 10:04
LiveScore Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -12.98%E -1.04%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 10:10
LowVig.ag12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -15.63%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:05
BetOnline.ag12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -15.63%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:10
PlayUp12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.24%E -3.12%K -81.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 10:08
Coral12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 10:08
Virgin Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 10:10
Bally Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 10:10
LeoVegas11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -19.94%E -1.73%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Caesars11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 10:09
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 09:59
Betway11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 10:10
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 10:09
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 10:10
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 10:10
BetMGM10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.91%E -2.56%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 10:10
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -33.87%E -3.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 10:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.99%1.04I 96.15%NM 96.01%0.2%2026-05-27 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%0.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-05-27 10:10
Matchbook17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-05-27 10:10
Smarkets16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-05-27 10:10
Novig18.52I 5.40%NM 5.17%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.83%4.4%2026-05-27 10:10