A Escola das Odds

Sara Bejlek v Iga Swiatek

Início: 2026-05-27 10:13 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Previsão 6.96%14.37odd justa
EV +32.27%
Vantagem +1.70%
Kelly +1.79%
Crescimento +0.578%

pressupondo odds máximas de 19.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.05%7.07%7.28%9.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
9.5013.7113.3319.0010.53%7.30%7.50%5.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Previsão 93.04%1.07odd justa
EV -3.24%
Vantagem -3.12%
Kelly -81.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.30%92.93%92.72%94.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.021.021.04100.00%98.01%98.04%96.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +32.27%E +1.70%K +1.79%G +0.578%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 10:10
Winamax (FR)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +32.27%E +1.70%K +1.79%G +0.578%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 10:10
theScore Bet18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +25.30%E +1.41%K +1.49%G +0.377%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-27 10:10
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +18.34%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.210%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 10:10
DraftKings17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +18.34%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.210%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 10:10
Unibet (FR)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +18.34%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.210%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 10:00
Bovada17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +18.34%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.210%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 10:09
Svenska Spel16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +11.38%E +0.711%K +0.759%G +0.086%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:10
NetBet (FR)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +11.38%E +0.711%K +0.759%G +0.086%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -6.96%E -6.96%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 10:00
Pinnacle15.87I 6.30%NM 6.15%EV +10.48%E +0.660%K +0.705%G +0.074%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.85%EV -3.24%E -3.12%K -81.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 10:09
1xBet15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +7.90%E +0.510%K +0.545%G +0.043%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 10:02
Codere (IT)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 10:00
Betclic (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 10:09
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:09
Unibet (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
betPARX15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
ATG (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.42%E +0.295%K +0.316%G +0.014%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Coolbet14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -0.801%E -0.056%K -0.060%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 10:09
Marathon Bet14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -0.801%E -0.056%K -0.060%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:59
Bet Right14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 10:09
Unibet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 10:10
Casumo14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:59
Unibet (NL)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:58
TABtouch14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:58
Hard Rock Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.54%E -0.182%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 10:08
MyBookie.ag13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV -4.28%E -0.311%K -0.336%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:09
NordicBet13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -6.02%E -0.446%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 10:10
GTbets13.33I 7.50%NM 7.11%EV -7.21%E -0.541%K -0.584%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.89%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 09:59
FanDuel13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 10:10
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Fanatics13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:09
Betsson13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
William Hill13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:06
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Betr (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -9.50%E -0.731%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 10:09
BetAnything12.95I 7.72%NM 7.37%EV -9.85%E -0.761%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.63%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 10:04
Neds12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.98%E -1.04%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.98%E -1.04%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 10:04
LiveScore Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -12.98%E -1.04%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 10:10
LowVig.ag12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -15.63%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:05
BetOnline.ag12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -15.63%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:10
PlayUp12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.24%E -3.12%K -81.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 10:08
Coral12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 10:08
Virgin Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 10:10
Bally Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -16.46%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 10:10
LeoVegas11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -19.94%E -1.73%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.03%E -5.97%K -603.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Caesars11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 10:09
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 09:59
Betway11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 10:10
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 10:09
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 10:10
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.43%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 10:10
BetMGM10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -26.91%E -2.56%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 10:10
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -33.87%E -3.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 10:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.99%1.04I 96.15%NM 96.01%0.2%2026-05-27 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%0.7%2026-05-27 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-05-27 10:10
Matchbook17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-05-27 10:10
Smarkets16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-05-27 10:10
Novig18.52I 5.40%NM 5.17%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.83%4.4%2026-05-27 10:10