Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oleksandra Oliynykova v Kimberly Birrell

Kickoff: 2026-05-28 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local)

Prediction 67.95%1.47fair odd
EV +0.573%
Edge +0.387%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%68.03%67.76%71.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.401.401.4877.52%71.64%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kimberly Birrell (Visit)

Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd
EV +4.15%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.076%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.89%31.97%32.24%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.902.883.2538.17%34.50%34.72%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local): 67.95%; Kimberly Birrell (Visit): 32.05%. For Kimberly Birrell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +4.15%E +1.28%K +1.84%G +0.076%4.8%2026-05-28 09:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.62%E -7.23%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +4.15%E +1.28%K +1.84%G +0.076%6.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.62%E -7.23%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +4.15%E +1.28%K +1.84%G +0.076%6.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.62%E -7.23%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +4.15%E +1.28%K +1.84%G +0.076%6.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -10.30%E -7.80%K -32.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +2.54%E +0.795%K +1.16%G +0.029%7.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.66%E -8.97%K -38.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +2.54%E +0.795%K +1.16%G +0.029%8.2%2026-05-28 09:10
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +1.26%E +0.400%K +0.585%G +0.007%5.7%2026-05-28 09:09
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.43%EV -10.98%E -8.38%K -35.42%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -0.019%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-28 09:10
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.660%E -0.213%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:09
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:10
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -10.30%E -7.80%K -32.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -10.30%E -7.80%K -32.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.82%E -1.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 09:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 09:09
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 09:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:10
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:04
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 09:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 08:59
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:09
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV -12.34%E -9.56%K -42.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:09
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.14%E -1.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 09:09
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -10.91%E -3.93%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 09:10
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -0.786%E -0.538%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -11.23%E -4.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:07
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -11.56%E -4.19%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 08:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV +0.573%E +0.387%K +1.19%G +0.007%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 09:08
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV +0.573%E +0.387%K +1.19%G +0.007%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 09:08
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:02
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.14%E -1.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:01
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.82%E -1.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 09:09
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:59
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 09:03
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -14.44%E -5.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.573%E +0.387%K +1.19%G +0.007%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.573%E +0.387%K +1.19%G +0.007%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.91%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.09%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-28 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -2.14%E -1.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -16.04%E -6.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-05-28 09:10
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%3.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 72.41%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.59%7.9%2026-05-28 09:10
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 67.93%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.07%9.0%2026-05-28 09:10