L’École des cotes

Oleksandra Oliynykova v Kimberly Birrell

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local)

Prévision 67.95%1.47cote équitable
EV +0.573%
Avantage +0.387%
Kelly +1.19%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.16%68.03%67.76%71.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.401.401.4877.52%71.64%71.43%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kimberly Birrell (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.05%3.12cote équitable
EV +4.15%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.076%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.89%31.97%32.24%35.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.902.883.2538.17%34.50%34.72%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +4.15%E +1.28%K +1.84%G +0.076%4.8%2026-05-28 09:10
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.62%E -7.23%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +4.15%E +1.28%K +1.84%G +0.076%6.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.62%E -7.23%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +4.15%E +1.28%K +1.84%G +0.076%6.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.62%E -7.23%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +4.15%E +1.28%K +1.84%G +0.076%6.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -10.30%E -7.80%K -32.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +2.54%E +0.795%K +1.16%G +0.029%7.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.66%E -8.97%K -38.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +2.54%E +0.795%K +1.16%G +0.029%8.2%2026-05-28 09:10
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +1.26%E +0.400%K +0.585%G +0.007%5.7%2026-05-28 09:09
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.43%EV -10.98%E -8.38%K -35.42%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -0.019%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-28 09:10
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.660%E -0.213%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:09
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:10
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:10
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -10.30%E -7.80%K -32.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -10.30%E -7.80%K -32.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.82%E -1.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 09:04
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 09:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 09:09
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:10
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:04
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 09:00
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 08:59
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:09
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV -12.34%E -9.56%K -42.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:09
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:04
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.14%E -1.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 09:09
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -10.91%E -3.93%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 09:10
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -0.786%E -0.538%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -11.23%E -4.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:07
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -11.56%E -4.19%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 08:59
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV +0.573%E +0.387%K +1.19%G +0.007%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 09:08
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV +0.573%E +0.387%K +1.19%G +0.007%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 09:08
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:02
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:08
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.14%E -1.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:01
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.82%E -1.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:00
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 09:09
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:59
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 09:03
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -14.44%E -5.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.573%E +0.387%K +1.19%G +0.007%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.573%E +0.387%K +1.19%G +0.007%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:04
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.91%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.09%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-28 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -2.14%E -1.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -16.04%E -6.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-05-28 09:10
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%3.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 72.41%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.59%7.9%2026-05-28 09:10
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 67.93%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.07%9.0%2026-05-28 09:10