La escuela de los momios

Oleksandra Oliynykova v Kimberly Birrell

Inicio: 2026-05-28 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local)

Predicción 67.95%1.47momio equitativo
EV +0.573%
Ventaja +0.387%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.16%68.03%67.76%71.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.401.401.4877.52%71.64%71.43%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kimberly Birrell (Visitante)

Predicción 32.05%3.12momio equitativo
EV +4.15%
Ventaja +1.28%
Kelly +1.84%
Crecimiento +0.076%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.89%31.97%32.24%35.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.902.883.2538.17%34.50%34.72%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +4.15%E +1.28%K +1.84%G +0.076%4.8%2026-05-28 09:10
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.62%E -7.23%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +4.15%E +1.28%K +1.84%G +0.076%6.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.62%E -7.23%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +4.15%E +1.28%K +1.84%G +0.076%6.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.62%E -7.23%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +4.15%E +1.28%K +1.84%G +0.076%6.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -10.30%E -7.80%K -32.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +2.54%E +0.795%K +1.16%G +0.029%7.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.66%E -8.97%K -38.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +2.54%E +0.795%K +1.16%G +0.029%8.2%2026-05-28 09:10
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +1.26%E +0.400%K +0.585%G +0.007%5.7%2026-05-28 09:09
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.43%EV -10.98%E -8.38%K -35.42%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -0.019%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-28 09:10
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.660%E -0.213%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:09
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:10
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:10
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -10.30%E -7.80%K -32.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -10.30%E -7.80%K -32.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:10
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.82%E -1.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 09:04
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 09:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 09:09
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 09:09
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:10
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:04
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 09:00
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 08:59
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:09
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV -12.34%E -9.56%K -42.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:09
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:04
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.14%E -1.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 09:09
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -10.91%E -3.93%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 09:10
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -0.786%E -0.538%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -11.23%E -4.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:07
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -11.56%E -4.19%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 08:59
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV +0.573%E +0.387%K +1.19%G +0.007%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 09:08
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV +0.573%E +0.387%K +1.19%G +0.007%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 09:08
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:02
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:08
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.14%E -1.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:01
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.82%E -1.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:00
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 09:09
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.47%E -1.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:59
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 09:03
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -14.44%E -5.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.573%E +0.387%K +1.19%G +0.007%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.573%E +0.387%K +1.19%G +0.007%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:04
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.91%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.09%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-28 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -2.14%E -1.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -16.04%E -6.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-05-28 09:10
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%3.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 72.41%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.59%7.9%2026-05-28 09:10
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 67.93%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.07%9.0%2026-05-28 09:10