Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marta Kostyuk v Katie Volynets

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 12:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prediction 84.67%1.18fair odd
EV -0.932%
Edge -0.797%
Kelly -5.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.67%84.64%84.27%86.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.121.121.1791.74%88.90%89.29%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Katie Volynets (Visit)

Prediction 15.33%6.52fair odd
EV +11.12%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.198%

assuming max odds 7.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.28%15.36%15.73%17.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.056.007.2519.23%16.53%16.67%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 84.67%; Katie Volynets (Visit): 15.33%. For Katie Volynets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.52. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +11.12%E +1.53%K +1.78%G +0.198%3.9%2026-05-27 12:07
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +7.29%E +1.04%K +1.21%G +0.089%3.6%2026-05-27 11:40
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.98%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 14.02%EV +6.22%E +0.897%K +1.05%G +0.065%2.9%2026-05-27 12:00
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +2.69%E +0.402%K +0.472%G +0.013%5.0%2026-05-27 12:16
Codere (IT)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.16%E +0.175%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-27 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.16%E +0.175%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-27 11:40
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +0.238%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 12:20
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.47%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.53%EV +0.085%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 12:00
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 11:50
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 11:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:19
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:20
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 84.52%EV -0.932%E -0.797%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.48%EV -2.06%E -0.323%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.1%2026-05-27 11:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.21%E -0.673%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:59
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.21%E -0.673%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 11:40
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.21%E -0.673%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 12:00
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:39
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -8.65%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -8.65%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:37
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -8.65%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 12:20
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -8.65%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 12:20
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -9.57%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.57%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 12:19
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.87%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -14.17%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 12:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 12:18
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 11:40
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 11:40
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 12:18
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:40
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:39
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:39
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.67%EV -7.71%E -7.07%K -85.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -20.30%E -3.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-27 12:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14%0.1%2026-05-27 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 86.42%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.58%2.4%2026-05-27 12:20