L’École des cotes

Marta Kostyuk v Katie Volynets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prévision 84.67%1.18cote équitable
EV -0.932%
Avantage -0.797%
Kelly -5.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.67%84.64%84.27%86.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.121.121.1791.74%88.90%89.29%85.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Katie Volynets (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.33%6.52cote équitable
EV +11.12%
Avantage +1.53%
Kelly +1.78%
Croissance +0.198%

avec la cote maximale 7.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.28%15.36%15.73%17.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.206.056.007.2519.23%16.53%16.67%13.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +11.12%E +1.53%K +1.78%G +0.198%3.9%2026-05-27 12:07
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +7.29%E +1.04%K +1.21%G +0.089%3.6%2026-05-27 11:40
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 85.98%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 14.02%EV +6.22%E +0.897%K +1.05%G +0.065%2.9%2026-05-27 12:00
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +2.69%E +0.402%K +0.472%G +0.013%5.0%2026-05-27 12:16
Codere (IT)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.16%E +0.175%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-27 12:20
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.16%E +0.175%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-27 11:40
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +0.238%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 12:20
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 85.47%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.53%EV +0.085%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 12:00
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 12:19
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 11:50
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 11:59
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:19
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:20
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:19
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:20
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.52%EV -0.932%E -0.797%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.48%EV -2.06%E -0.323%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.1%2026-05-27 11:50
MyBookie.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.21%E -0.673%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:59
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.21%E -0.673%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 11:40
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.21%E -0.673%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 12:00
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:40
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
PointsBet (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:39
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 11:40
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -8.65%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:40
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -8.65%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:37
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -8.65%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 12:20
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -8.65%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 12:20
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -9.57%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 12:20
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.57%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 12:19
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:39
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.87%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 11:40
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -14.17%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 12:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 11:40
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 12:18
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 11:40
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 11:40
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 12:18
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:40
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:39
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:39
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 12:20
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.67%EV -7.71%E -7.07%K -85.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -20.30%E -3.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-27 12:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14%0.1%2026-05-27 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 86.42%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.58%2.4%2026-05-27 12:20