La escuela de los momios

Marta Kostyuk v Katie Volynets

Inicio: 2026-05-27 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Predicción 84.67%1.18momio equitativo
EV -0.932%
Ventaja -0.797%
Kelly -5.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.67%84.64%84.27%86.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.091.121.121.1791.74%88.90%89.29%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Katie Volynets (Visitante)

Predicción 15.33%6.52momio equitativo
EV +11.12%
Ventaja +1.53%
Kelly +1.78%
Crecimiento +0.198%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.28%15.36%15.73%17.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.206.056.007.2519.23%16.53%16.67%13.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +11.12%E +1.53%K +1.78%G +0.198%3.9%2026-05-27 12:07
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +7.29%E +1.04%K +1.21%G +0.089%3.6%2026-05-27 11:40
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 85.98%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 14.02%EV +6.22%E +0.897%K +1.05%G +0.065%2.9%2026-05-27 12:00
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +2.69%E +0.402%K +0.472%G +0.013%5.0%2026-05-27 12:16
Codere (IT)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.16%E +0.175%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-27 12:20
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.16%E +0.175%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-27 11:40
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +0.238%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 12:20
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 85.47%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.53%EV +0.085%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 12:00
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 12:19
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 11:50
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 11:59
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:19
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:20
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:19
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.375%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:20
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.52%EV -0.932%E -0.797%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.48%EV -2.06%E -0.323%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.1%2026-05-27 11:50
MyBookie.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.21%E -0.673%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:59
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.21%E -0.673%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 11:40
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.21%E -0.673%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 12:00
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:40
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
PointsBet (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:39
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.01%E -5.42%K -54.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 11:40
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -8.65%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:40
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -8.65%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:37
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -8.65%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 12:20
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -8.65%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 12:20
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -9.57%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 12:20
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.57%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 12:19
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:40
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:39
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.87%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 11:40
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -14.17%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 12:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.47%E -3.05%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 11:40
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 12:18
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 11:40
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 11:40
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.82%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 12:18
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:40
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:39
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:39
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.61%K -43.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 12:20
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.67%EV -7.71%E -7.07%K -85.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -20.30%E -3.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-27 12:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14%0.1%2026-05-27 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 86.42%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.58%2.4%2026-05-27 12:20