Language:English
Marina Bassols Ribera v Emiliana Arango
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marina Bassols Ribera (Local)
Prediction 50.32%1.99fair odd
EV +0.632%
Edge +0.316%
Kelly +0.632%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%50.33%50.33%51.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.852.0055.56%53.60%54.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Emiliana Arango (Visit)
Prediction 49.68%2.01fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.28%49.67%49.67%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.931.9855.56%52.10%51.81%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marina Bassols Ribera (Local): 50.32%; Emiliana Arango (Visit): 49.68%. For Marina Bassols Ribera (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.632%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.632%E +0.316%K +0.632%G +0.004% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.57%E -5.87%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -1.88%E -0.966%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -6.10%E -3.23%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.89%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.89%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -3.39%E -1.77%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.39%E -1.77%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.40%E -2.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.10%E -3.23%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.63%E -0.821%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.63%E -0.821%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.96%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.43%E -5.24%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.43%E -5.24%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |