La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marina Bassols Ribera v Emiliana Arango
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marina Bassols Ribera (Local)
Predicción 50.32%1.99momio equitativo
EV +0.632%
Ventaja +0.316%
Kelly +0.632%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%50.33%50.33%51.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.871.852.0055.56%53.60%54.05%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Emiliana Arango (Visitante)
Predicción 49.68%2.01momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.821%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.28%49.67%49.67%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.921.931.9855.56%52.10%51.81%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.632%E +0.316%K +0.632%G +0.004% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.57%E -5.87%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -1.88%E -0.966%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -6.10%E -3.23%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.89%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.89%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -3.39%E -1.77%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.39%E -1.77%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.40%E -2.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.10%E -3.23%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Everygame | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.63%E -0.821%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.63%E -0.821%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| Bally Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 17:37 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.96%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.43%E -5.24%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.43%E -5.24%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Novig | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |