Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marina Bassols Ribera v Emiliana Arango

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 17:49 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marina Bassols Ribera (Local)

Prévision 50.32%1.99cote équitable
EV +0.632%
Avantage +0.316%
Kelly +0.632%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%50.33%50.33%51.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.871.852.0055.56%53.60%54.05%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Emiliana Arango (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.68%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.821%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.28%49.67%49.67%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.921.931.9855.56%52.10%51.81%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Marina Bassols Ribera (Local) : 50.32% ; Emiliana Arango (Visiteur) : 49.68%. Pour Marina Bassols Ribera (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.99. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.00, soit une espérance positive de +0.632%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.632%E +0.316%K +0.632%G +0.004%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.57%E -5.87%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -1.88%E -0.966%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -6.10%E -3.23%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 17:40
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.89%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-24 17:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.89%E -1.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:38
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -3.39%E -1.77%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.39%E -1.77%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.40%E -2.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 17:39
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:39
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:39
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.10%E -3.23%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 17:40
Everygame🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 17:39
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 17:37
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.59%E -3.51%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 17:39
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 17:40
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.63%E -0.821%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.63%E -0.821%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:39
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:39
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:39
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:38
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:37
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:38
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:37
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:38
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:37
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:37
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:37
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:37
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:37
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:37
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:37
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:38
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 17:37
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.42%E -4.03%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 17:38
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 17:40
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 17:38
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 17:39
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.96%K -10.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 17:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.43%E -5.24%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.43%E -5.24%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-05-24 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-24 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-24 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-24 17:40
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%2.8%2026-05-24 17:40
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%2.9%2026-05-24 17:40