Language:English
Maja Chwalinska v Mirra Andreeva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maja Chwalinska (Local)
Prediction 20.67%4.84fair odd
EV +7.50%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.134%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.62%20.72%20.63%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.494.405.2025.00%22.25%22.73%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mirra Andreeva (Visit)
Prediction 79.33%1.26fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -6.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.34%79.28%79.37%81.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.64%82.64%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maja Chwalinska (Local): 20.67%; Mirra Andreeva (Visit): 79.33%. For Maja Chwalinska (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +7.50%E +1.44%K +1.79%G +0.134% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-06 13:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%EV +5.43%E +1.07%K +1.33%G +0.072% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.09I 19.65%NM 19.21%EV +5.23%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.79%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.09I 19.65%NM 19.08%EV +5.23%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.92%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.09I 19.65%NM 19.08%EV +5.23%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.92%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +3.37%E +0.673%K +0.842%G +0.028% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-06 13:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +3.37%E +0.673%K +0.842%G +0.028% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.37%E +0.673%K +0.842%G +0.028% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.30%E +0.265%K +0.333%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +0.265%E +0.055%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.769%E -0.160%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-06 13:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.769%E -0.160%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.769%E -0.160%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -1.80%E -0.379%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.80%E -0.379%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.84%E -0.603%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.90%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.90%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.21%EV -5.52%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.23%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.77%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-06 13:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -10.49%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-06 13:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.70% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.30% | 1.7% | 2026-06-06 13:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82% | 2.3% | 2026-06-06 13:20 |