L’École des cotes

Maja Chwalinska v Mirra Andreeva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-06 13:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Maja Chwalinska (Local)

Prévision 20.67%4.84cote équitable
EV +7.50%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +1.79%
Croissance +0.134%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.62%20.72%20.63%23.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.494.405.2025.00%22.25%22.73%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mirra Andreeva (Visiteur)

Prévision 79.33%1.26cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -6.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.34%79.28%79.37%81.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.64%82.64%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +7.50%E +1.44%K +1.79%G +0.134%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-06 13:18
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%EV +5.43%E +1.07%K +1.33%G +0.072%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-06 13:19
Pinnacle5.09I 19.65%NM 19.21%EV +5.23%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.79%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 13:20
LowVig.ag5.09I 19.65%NM 19.08%EV +5.23%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.92%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-06 13:19
BetOnline.ag5.09I 19.65%NM 19.08%EV +5.23%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.92%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-06 13:19
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +3.37%E +0.673%K +0.842%G +0.028%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-06 13:14
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +3.37%E +0.673%K +0.842%G +0.028%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-06 13:20
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.37%E +0.673%K +0.842%G +0.028%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 13:20
Codere (IT)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.30%E +0.265%K +0.333%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 13:20
Fanatics4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +0.265%E +0.055%K +0.069%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 13:20
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.769%E -0.160%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 13:10
MyBookie.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.769%E -0.160%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 13:19
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.769%E -0.160%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 13:19
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -1.80%E -0.379%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-06 13:19
Winamax (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.80%E -0.379%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 13:19
Bet Right4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.84%E -0.603%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 13:19
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.90%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 13:20
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.90%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 13:20
GTbets4.57I 21.88%NM 21.21%EV -5.52%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 13:19
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 13:19
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 13:19
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 13:19
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:19
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:20
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:19
DraftKings4.49I 22.27%NM 21.23%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.77%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 13:20
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 13:19
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 13:19
Fliff4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 13:18
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:20
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:20
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:20
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
Bally Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:20
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -10.49%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 13:19
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 13:19
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 13:20
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 13:19
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 13:19
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 13:19
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 13:20
Betsson4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 13:19
NordicBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 13:19
PointsBet (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 13:20
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 13:14
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 13:19
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 13:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-06-06 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-06 13:20
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-06-06 13:20
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 18.70%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.30%1.7%2026-06-06 13:19
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82%2.3%2026-06-06 13:20