La escuela de los momios

Maja Chwalinska v Mirra Andreeva

Inicio: 2026-06-06 13:25 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Maja Chwalinska (Local)

Predicción 20.67%4.84momio equitativo
EV +7.50%
Ventaja +1.44%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.134%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.62%20.72%20.63%23.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.494.405.2025.00%22.25%22.73%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mirra Andreeva (Visitante)

Predicción 79.33%1.26momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -6.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.34%79.28%79.37%81.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.64%82.64%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bovada5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +7.50%E +1.44%K +1.79%G +0.134%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-06 13:18
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%EV +5.43%E +1.07%K +1.33%G +0.072%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-06 13:19
Pinnacle5.09I 19.65%NM 19.21%EV +5.23%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.79%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 13:20
LowVig.ag5.09I 19.65%NM 19.08%EV +5.23%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.92%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-06 13:19
BetOnline.ag5.09I 19.65%NM 19.08%EV +5.23%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.92%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-06 13:19
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +3.37%E +0.673%K +0.842%G +0.028%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-06 13:14
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +3.37%E +0.673%K +0.842%G +0.028%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-06 13:20
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.37%E +0.673%K +0.842%G +0.028%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 13:20
Codere (IT)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.30%E +0.265%K +0.333%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 13:20
Fanatics4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +0.265%E +0.055%K +0.069%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 13:20
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.769%E -0.160%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 13:10
MyBookie.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.769%E -0.160%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 13:19
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.769%E -0.160%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 13:19
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -1.80%E -0.379%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-06 13:19
Winamax (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.80%E -0.379%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 13:19
Bet Right4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.84%E -0.603%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 13:19
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.90%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 13:20
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.90%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 13:20
GTbets4.57I 21.88%NM 21.21%EV -5.52%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 13:19
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 13:19
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 13:19
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 13:19
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:19
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:20
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:19
DraftKings4.49I 22.27%NM 21.23%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.77%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 13:20
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 13:19
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 13:19
Fliff4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 13:18
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:20
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:20
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:20
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:19
Bally Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -10.07%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 13:20
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -10.49%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 13:19
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 13:19
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 13:20
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 13:19
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 13:19
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 13:19
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 13:20
Betsson4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 13:19
NordicBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 13:19
PointsBet (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 13:20
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.17%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 13:14
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.63%E -1.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 13:19
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 13:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-06-06 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-06 13:20
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-06-06 13:20
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 18.70%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.30%1.7%2026-06-06 13:19
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82%2.3%2026-06-06 13:20