Language:English
Magdalena Frech v Elena Gabriela Ruse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Magdalena Frech (Local)
Prediction 34.87%2.87fair odd
EV +22.06%
Edge +6.30%
Kelly +8.82%
Growth +1.95%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%34.95%34.01%42.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.632.633.5044.44%38.05%37.95%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit)
Prediction 65.13%1.54fair odd
EV +9.41%
Edge +5.60%
Kelly +13.84%
Growth +1.30%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.58%65.05%65.99%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.481.441.6877.52%67.62%69.44%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magdalena Frech (Local): 34.87%; Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit): 65.13%. For Magdalena Frech (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +22.06%E +6.30%K +8.82%G +1.95% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -15.99%E -12.39%K -55.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +18.57%E +5.46%K +7.74%G +1.44% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -15.34%E -11.80%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +11.94%E +3.72%K +5.40%G +0.645% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -12.08%E -8.95%K -34.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +11.59%E +3.62%K +5.27%G +0.611% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -15.34%E -11.80%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.84%EV +7.41%E +2.41%K +3.56%G +0.264% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%EV -14.68%E -11.21%K -47.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 14:17 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +4.62%E +1.54%K +2.31%G +0.107% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -10.12%E -7.34%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +4.62%E +1.54%K +2.31%G +0.107% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -10.12%E -7.34%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +4.62%E +1.54%K +2.31%G +0.107% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -11.43%E -8.40%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV +2.88%E +0.975%K +1.47%G +0.042% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -13.38%E -10.06%K -40.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV +2.18%E +0.743%K +1.13%G +0.025% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -8.17%E -5.80%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV +1.13%E +0.390%K +0.596%G +0.007% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -10.78%E -7.87%K -29.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +0.086%E +0.030%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -4.45%E -1.62%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -6.89%E -2.58%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.91%E -3.37%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.63%E -3.29%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.63%E -3.29%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.63%E -3.29%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -8.17%E -5.80%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -11.07%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.26%E -2.90%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.07%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -10.12%E -7.34%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.82%E -5.13%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.31%E -1.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -12.82%E -5.13%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -10.78%E -7.87%K -29.12%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -17.35%E -7.32%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV +7.46%E +4.52%K +11.48%G +0.856% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -18.40%E -7.86%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV +6.16%E +3.78%K +9.77%G +0.602% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -18.75%E -8.05%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV +4.85%E +3.02%K +7.96%G +0.386% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -19.44%E -8.42%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 13:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -19.44%E -8.42%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -19.44%E -8.42%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV +4.85%E +3.02%K +7.96%G +0.386% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -19.79%E -8.61%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV +6.16%E +3.78%K +9.77%G +0.602% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 13:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -19.79%E -8.61%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -19.79%E -8.61%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -19.79%E -8.61%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +4.20%E +2.63%K +7.01%G +0.294% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -20.14%E -8.80%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV +3.55%E +2.23%K +6.02%G +0.214% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +9.41%E +5.60%K +13.84%G +1.30% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +9.41%E +5.60%K +13.84%G +1.30% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -20.84%E -9.18%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV +4.20%E +2.63%K +7.01%G +0.294% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 13:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -21.54%E -9.57%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +6.81%E +4.15%K +10.64%G +0.724% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -21.54%E -9.57%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +6.81%E +4.15%K +10.64%G +0.724% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -21.54%E -9.57%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +4.85%E +3.02%K +7.96%G +0.386% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |