La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Magdalena Frech v Elena Gabriela Ruse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Magdalena Frech (Local)
Predicción 34.87%2.87momio equitativo
EV +22.06%
Ventaja +6.30%
Kelly +8.82%
Crecimiento +1.95%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%34.95%34.01%42.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.632.633.5044.44%38.05%37.95%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visitante)
Predicción 65.13%1.54momio equitativo
EV +9.41%
Ventaja +5.60%
Kelly +13.84%
Crecimiento +1.30%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.58%65.05%65.99%73.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.481.441.6877.52%67.62%69.44%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +22.06%E +6.30%K +8.82%G +1.95% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -15.99%E -12.39%K -55.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +18.57%E +5.46%K +7.74%G +1.44% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -15.34%E -11.80%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +11.94%E +3.72%K +5.40%G +0.645% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -12.08%E -8.95%K -34.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +11.59%E +3.62%K +5.27%G +0.611% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -15.34%E -11.80%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.84%EV +7.41%E +2.41%K +3.56%G +0.264% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%EV -14.68%E -11.21%K -47.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 14:17 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +4.62%E +1.54%K +2.31%G +0.107% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -10.12%E -7.34%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +4.62%E +1.54%K +2.31%G +0.107% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -10.12%E -7.34%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +4.62%E +1.54%K +2.31%G +0.107% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -11.43%E -8.40%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Fliff | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV +2.88%E +0.975%K +1.47%G +0.042% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -13.38%E -10.06%K -40.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV +2.18%E +0.743%K +1.13%G +0.025% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -8.17%E -5.80%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV +1.13%E +0.390%K +0.596%G +0.007% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -10.78%E -7.87%K -29.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +0.086%E +0.030%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betsson | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -4.45%E -1.62%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -6.89%E -2.58%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| TAB | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.91%E -3.37%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.63%E -3.29%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.63%E -3.29%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.63%E -3.29%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -8.17%E -5.80%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -11.07%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.26%E -2.90%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.07%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -10.12%E -7.34%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.82%E -5.13%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.31%E -1.54%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -12.82%E -5.13%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -10.78%E -7.87%K -29.12%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -17.35%E -7.32%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV +7.46%E +4.52%K +11.48%G +0.856% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -18.40%E -7.86%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV +6.16%E +3.78%K +9.77%G +0.602% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -18.75%E -8.05%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV +4.85%E +3.02%K +7.96%G +0.386% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -19.44%E -8.42%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 13:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -19.44%E -8.42%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -19.44%E -8.42%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV +4.85%E +3.02%K +7.96%G +0.386% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -19.79%E -8.61%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV +6.16%E +3.78%K +9.77%G +0.602% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 13:56 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -19.79%E -8.61%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -19.79%E -8.61%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -19.79%E -8.61%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +4.20%E +2.63%K +7.01%G +0.294% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| GTbets | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -20.14%E -8.80%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV +3.55%E +2.23%K +6.02%G +0.214% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +9.41%E +5.60%K +13.84%G +1.30% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +9.41%E +5.60%K +13.84%G +1.30% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -20.84%E -9.18%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV +4.20%E +2.63%K +7.01%G +0.294% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 13:58 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -21.54%E -9.57%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +6.81%E +4.15%K +10.64%G +0.724% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -21.54%E -9.57%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +6.81%E +4.15%K +10.64%G +0.724% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -21.54%E -9.57%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +4.85%E +3.02%K +7.96%G +0.386% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Novig | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |