Szkoła Kursów

Magdalena Frech v Elena Gabriela Ruse

Początek: 2026-05-24 15:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Magdalena Frech (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 34.87%2.87kurs godziwy
EV +22.06%
Przewaga +6.30%
Kelly +8.82%
Wzrost +1.95%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.93%34.95%34.01%42.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.632.633.5044.44%38.05%37.95%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Goście)

Prognoza 65.13%1.54kurs godziwy
EV +9.41%
Przewaga +5.60%
Kelly +13.84%
Wzrost +1.30%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
57.58%65.05%65.99%73.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.291.481.441.6877.52%67.62%69.44%59.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +22.06%E +6.30%K +8.82%G +1.95%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -15.99%E -12.39%K -55.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 14:19
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +18.57%E +5.46%K +7.74%G +1.44%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -15.34%E -11.80%K -51.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:20
DraftKings3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +11.94%E +3.72%K +5.40%G +0.645%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -12.08%E -8.95%K -34.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 14:20
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +11.59%E +3.62%K +5.27%G +0.611%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -15.34%E -11.80%K -51.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 14:19
Betclic (FR)3.08I 32.47%NM 29.84%EV +7.41%E +2.41%K +3.56%G +0.264%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%EV -14.68%E -11.21%K -47.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:17
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +4.62%E +1.54%K +2.31%G +0.107%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -10.12%E -7.34%K -26.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 14:20
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +4.62%E +1.54%K +2.31%G +0.107%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -10.12%E -7.34%K -26.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 14:20
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +4.62%E +1.54%K +2.31%G +0.107%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -11.43%E -8.40%K -31.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 14:19
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV +2.88%E +0.975%K +1.47%G +0.042%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -13.38%E -10.06%K -40.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 14:19
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV +2.18%E +0.743%K +1.13%G +0.025%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -8.17%E -5.80%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 14:20
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV +1.13%E +0.390%K +0.596%G +0.007%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -10.78%E -7.87%K -29.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 14:20
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +0.086%E +0.030%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:20
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 14:20
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 14:20
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 14:20
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.36%E -0.841%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 14:20
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:20
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 14:20
Betsson2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -4.45%E -1.62%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 14:19
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:20
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:19
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 14:19
NordicBet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -6.89%E -2.58%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 14:20
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.91%E -3.37%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 14:20
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 14:20
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 14:20
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.63%E -3.29%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.63%E -3.29%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 14:19
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.63%E -3.29%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 14:20
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 14:20
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -8.17%E -5.80%K -19.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:20
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -11.07%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.26%E -2.90%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 14:19
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.07%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -10.12%E -7.34%K -26.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 14:20
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.82%E -5.13%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.31%E -1.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 14:20
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -12.82%E -5.13%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -10.78%E -7.87%K -29.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-24 14:19
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -17.35%E -7.32%K -12.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV +7.46%E +4.52%K +11.48%G +0.856%2.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -18.40%E -7.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV +6.16%E +3.78%K +9.77%G +0.602%4.1%2026-05-24 14:00
SportsBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -18.75%E -8.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV +4.85%E +3.02%K +7.96%G +0.386%5.0%2026-05-24 14:09
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -19.44%E -8.42%K -14.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489%5.0%2026-05-24 13:59
MyBookie.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -19.44%E -8.42%K -14.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489%5.0%2026-05-24 14:00
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -19.44%E -8.42%K -14.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV +4.85%E +3.02%K +7.96%G +0.386%5.4%2026-05-24 13:59
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -19.79%E -8.61%K -15.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV +6.16%E +3.78%K +9.77%G +0.602%4.8%2026-05-24 13:56
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -19.79%E -8.61%K -15.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489%5.2%2026-05-24 14:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -19.79%E -8.61%K -15.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489%5.2%2026-05-24 14:00
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -19.79%E -8.61%K -15.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +4.20%E +2.63%K +7.01%G +0.294%6.0%2026-05-24 14:00
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -20.14%E -8.80%K -15.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV +3.55%E +2.23%K +6.02%G +0.214%6.6%2026-05-24 13:59
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +9.41%E +5.60%K +13.84%G +1.30%3.4%2026-05-24 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +9.41%E +5.60%K +13.84%G +1.30%3.4%2026-05-24 14:00
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489%5.6%2026-05-24 14:00
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489%5.6%2026-05-24 14:00
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -20.49%E -8.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV +5.51%E +3.40%K +8.88%G +0.489%5.6%2026-05-24 14:00
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -20.84%E -9.18%K -16.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV +4.20%E +2.63%K +7.01%G +0.294%6.6%2026-05-24 13:58
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -21.54%E -9.57%K -17.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +6.81%E +4.15%K +10.64%G +0.724%5.4%2026-05-24 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -21.54%E -9.57%K -17.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +6.81%E +4.15%K +10.64%G +0.724%5.4%2026-05-24 14:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -21.54%E -9.57%K -17.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +4.85%E +3.02%K +7.96%G +0.386%6.6%2026-05-24 14:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-24 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-05-24 14:20
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%1.4%2026-05-24 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%1.4%2026-05-24 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%3.4%2026-05-24 14:20
Novig3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%6.0%2026-05-24 14:20