Language:English
Lucia Bronzetti v Marie Bouzkova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lucia Bronzetti (Local)
Prediction 22.18%4.51fair odd
EV +4.25%
Edge +0.905%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.61%22.40%22.19%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.264.304.7026.67%23.48%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marie Bouzkova (Visit)
Prediction 77.82%1.29fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.25%77.60%77.81%79.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.221.221.2784.03%81.73%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lucia Bronzetti (Local): 22.18%; Marie Bouzkova (Visit): 77.82%. For Lucia Bronzetti (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.51. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +4.25%E +0.905%K +1.15%G +0.049% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV +0.924%E +0.203%K +0.260%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.45%EV +0.702%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.55%EV -3.50%E -2.83%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-23 19:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.185%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.50%E -2.83%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.185%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.29%E -0.291%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 08:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 08:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -3.51%E -0.807%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.51%E -0.807%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 09:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68%EV -3.96%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32%EV -1.17%E -0.921%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-23 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.96%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 08:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.40%E -6.21%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.50%E -2.83%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 08:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -6.17%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -6.17%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 07:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 08:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 08:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.95%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.50%E -2.83%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.95%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.95%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -11.72%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -1.95%E -1.55%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -11.72%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -1.95%E -1.55%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.82%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 07:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.42I 22.62%NM 22.05% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.95% | 2.6% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39% | 3.2% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |