A Escola das Odds

Lucia Bronzetti v Marie Bouzkova

Início: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lucia Bronzetti (Local)

Previsão 22.18%4.51odd justa
EV +4.25%
Vantagem +0.905%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescimento +0.049%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.61%22.40%22.19%24.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.264.304.7026.67%23.48%23.26%21.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Marie Bouzkova (Visitante)

Previsão 77.82%1.29odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.921%
Kelly -4.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.25%77.60%77.81%79.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.191.221.221.2784.03%81.73%81.97%78.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +4.25%E +0.905%K +1.15%G +0.049%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 07:20
Unibet (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV +0.924%E +0.203%K +0.260%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:30
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.45%EV +0.702%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.55%EV -3.50%E -2.83%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-23 19:09
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.185%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.50%E -2.83%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 18:59
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.185%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 07:40
SportsBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.29%E -0.291%K -0.375%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 08:09
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 07:30
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:39
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:39
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:39
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:39
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:39
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:20
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 08:50
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 07:20
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 08:40
Pinnacle4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -3.51%E -0.807%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 08:40
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.51%E -0.807%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 09:10
GTbets4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68%EV -3.96%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32%EV -1.17%E -0.921%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-23 13:59
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.96%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 07:20
MyBookie.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:30
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 08:29
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.40%E -6.21%K -38.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 07:30
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.50%E -2.83%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 08:28
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:59
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 07:40
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 07:40
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 11:19
NordicBet4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -6.17%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 07:20
Betsson4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -6.17%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 07:19
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 08:39
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 08:39
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 10:46
BetAnything4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.95%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.50%E -2.83%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 08:40
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.95%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 07:30
PointsBet (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.95%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 07:30
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 07:20
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 08:40
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 07:20
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 07:20
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 07:20
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 07:30
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 07:20
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 21:09
BetOnline.ag3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -11.72%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -1.95%E -1.55%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 08:40
LowVig.ag3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -11.72%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -1.95%E -1.55%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 08:40
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 08:39
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 08:39
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.82%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 07:48
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Novig4.42I 22.62%NM 22.05%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.95%2.6%2026-05-24 08:40
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%3.2%2026-05-24 08:40