La escuela de los momios

Lucia Bronzetti v Marie Bouzkova

Inicio: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Lucia Bronzetti (Local)

Predicción 22.18%4.51momio equitativo
EV +4.25%
Ventaja +0.905%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.049%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.61%22.40%22.19%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.264.304.7026.67%23.48%23.26%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Marie Bouzkova (Visitante)

Predicción 77.82%1.29momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.921%
Kelly -4.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.25%77.60%77.81%79.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.221.221.2784.03%81.73%81.97%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +4.25%E +0.905%K +1.15%G +0.049%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 07:20
Unibet (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV +0.924%E +0.203%K +0.260%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:30
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.45%EV +0.702%E +0.155%K +0.198%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.55%EV -3.50%E -2.83%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-23 19:09
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.185%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.50%E -2.83%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 18:59
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.185%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 07:40
SportsBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.29%E -0.291%K -0.375%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 08:09
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 07:30
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:39
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:39
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:39
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:39
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:39
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:40
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:20
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 08:50
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 07:20
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 08:40
Pinnacle4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -3.51%E -0.807%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 08:40
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.51%E -0.807%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 09:10
GTbets4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68%EV -3.96%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32%EV -1.17%E -0.921%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-23 13:59
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.96%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 07:20
MyBookie.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:30
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 08:29
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.40%E -6.21%K -38.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 07:30
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.50%E -2.83%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 08:28
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:59
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 07:40
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 07:40
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 11:19
NordicBet4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -6.17%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 07:20
Betsson4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -6.17%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.83%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 07:19
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 08:39
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 08:39
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 10:46
BetAnything4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.95%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.50%E -2.83%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 08:40
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.95%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 07:30
PointsBet (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.95%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 07:30
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.28%E -3.48%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 07:20
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 08:40
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 07:20
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 07:20
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 07:20
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 07:30
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 07:20
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 21:09
BetOnline.ag3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -11.72%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -1.95%E -1.55%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 08:40
LowVig.ag3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -11.72%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -1.95%E -1.55%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 08:40
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 08:39
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.73%E -2.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 08:39
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.82%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -23.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 07:48
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Novig4.42I 22.62%NM 22.05%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.95%2.6%2026-05-24 08:40
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%3.2%2026-05-24 08:40