La scuola delle quote

Laura Siegemund v Naomi Osaka

Inizio: 2026-05-26 13:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Laura Siegemund (Casa)

Previsione 23.93%4.18quota equa
EV +7.69%
Vantaggio +1.71%
Kelly +2.20%
Crescita +0.169%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.63%23.87%23.72%27.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.913.904.5028.99%25.55%25.64%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Naomi Osaka (Trasferta)

Previsione 76.07%1.31quota equa
EV -0.350%
Vantaggio -0.267%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.92%76.13%76.28%79.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.241.241.3186.21%80.54%80.65%76.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +7.69%E +1.71%K +2.20%G +0.169%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 13:00
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +7.69%E +1.71%K +2.20%G +0.169%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.24%E -8.68%K -56.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 12:59
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.69%E +1.71%K +2.20%G +0.169%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.00%E -9.40%K -64.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 12:59
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.30%E +1.20%K +1.56%G +0.083%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.96%E -6.58%K -37.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.62%E +0.837%K +1.09%G +0.039%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.72%E -7.26%K -43.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 12:59
DraftKings4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV +3.14%E +0.730%K +0.950%G +0.030%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 13:00
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +1.71%E +0.402%K +0.526%G +0.009%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.72%E -7.26%K -43.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 13:00
Fliff4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -0.685%E -0.165%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -10.24%E -8.68%K -56.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 12:59
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 12:59
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 12:59
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:00
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:00
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:00
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:00
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:00
NordicBet4.09I 24.45%NM 22.68%EV -2.12%E -0.518%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.32%EV -8.72%E -7.26%K -43.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 13:00
Betsson4.09I 24.45%NM 22.68%EV -2.12%E -0.518%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.32%EV -8.72%E -7.26%K -43.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 13:00
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 12:59
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 12:59
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:00
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 12:59
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:00
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:00
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 12:59
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.24%E -8.68%K -56.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 13:00
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.47%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.44%E -5.23%K -27.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 12:59
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.47%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.44%E -5.23%K -27.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 12:59
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.47%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.44%E -5.23%K -27.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 12:59
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 12:43
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 12:58
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 12:59
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 13:00
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.08%EV -11.76%E -10.14%K -73.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-26 13:00
Betclic (FR)3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -7.15%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -6.44%E -5.23%K -27.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 12:58
Pinnacle3.86I 25.91%NM 25.19%EV -7.62%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.81%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.86%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.96%E -6.58%K -37.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 12:59
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.10%E -2.11%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 12:43
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.06%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 12:40
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.06%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 12:59
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.06%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 12:59
GTbets3.78I 26.46%NM 25.74%EV -9.54%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.26%EV -0.350%E -0.267%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 12:40
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 12:59
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.48%E -7.97%K -49.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-26 13:00
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -10.50%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -2.63%E -2.06%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 12:40
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -11.45%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 12:57
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -11.45%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 12:56
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.45%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.63%E -2.06%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 12:56
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.45%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 12:40
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.65%E -3.47%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 12:45
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.65%E -3.47%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 12:43
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.65%E -3.47%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 12:49
Bally Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -12.65%E -3.47%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 13:00
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 12:40
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:40
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:50
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 12:59
MyBookie.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.24%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 12:40
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.24%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 12:40
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -17.44%E -5.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.63%E -2.06%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 12:56
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-05-26 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-26 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-26 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-26 13:00
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-05-26 13:00
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 21.14%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%6.6%2026-05-26 13:00