La escuela de los momios

Laura Siegemund v Naomi Osaka

Inicio: 2026-05-26 13:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Laura Siegemund (Local)

Predicción 23.93%4.18momio equitativo
EV +7.69%
Ventaja +1.71%
Kelly +2.20%
Crecimiento +0.169%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.63%23.87%23.72%27.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.913.904.5028.99%25.55%25.64%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Predicción 76.07%1.31momio equitativo
EV -0.350%
Ventaja -0.267%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.92%76.13%76.28%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.241.241.3186.21%80.54%80.65%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +7.69%E +1.71%K +2.20%G +0.169%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 13:00
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +7.69%E +1.71%K +2.20%G +0.169%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.24%E -8.68%K -56.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 12:59
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.69%E +1.71%K +2.20%G +0.169%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.00%E -9.40%K -64.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 12:59
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.30%E +1.20%K +1.56%G +0.083%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.96%E -6.58%K -37.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.62%E +0.837%K +1.09%G +0.039%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.72%E -7.26%K -43.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 12:59
DraftKings4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV +3.14%E +0.730%K +0.950%G +0.030%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 13:00
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +1.71%E +0.402%K +0.526%G +0.009%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.72%E -7.26%K -43.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 13:00
Fliff4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -0.685%E -0.165%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -10.24%E -8.68%K -56.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 12:59
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 12:59
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 12:59
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:00
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:00
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:00
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:00
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:00
NordicBet4.09I 24.45%NM 22.68%EV -2.12%E -0.518%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.32%EV -8.72%E -7.26%K -43.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 13:00
Betsson4.09I 24.45%NM 22.68%EV -2.12%E -0.518%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.32%EV -8.72%E -7.26%K -43.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 13:00
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 12:59
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 12:59
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:00
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 12:59
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:00
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:00
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 12:59
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.24%E -8.68%K -56.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 13:00
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.47%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.44%E -5.23%K -27.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 12:59
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.47%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.44%E -5.23%K -27.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 12:59
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.47%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.44%E -5.23%K -27.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 12:59
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 12:43
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 12:58
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 12:59
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 13:00
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.08%EV -11.76%E -10.14%K -73.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-26 13:00
Betclic (FR)3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -7.15%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -6.44%E -5.23%K -27.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 12:58
Pinnacle3.86I 25.91%NM 25.19%EV -7.62%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.81%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.86%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.96%E -6.58%K -37.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 12:59
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.10%E -2.11%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 12:43
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.06%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 12:40
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.06%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 12:59
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.06%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 12:59
GTbets3.78I 26.46%NM 25.74%EV -9.54%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.26%EV -0.350%E -0.267%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 12:40
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 12:59
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.48%E -7.97%K -49.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-26 13:00
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -10.50%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -2.63%E -2.06%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 12:40
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -11.45%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 12:57
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -11.45%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 12:56
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.45%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.63%E -2.06%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 12:56
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.45%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 12:40
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.65%E -3.47%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 12:45
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.65%E -3.47%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 12:43
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.65%E -3.47%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 12:49
Bally Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -12.65%E -3.47%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 13:00
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 12:40
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:40
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:50
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 12:59
MyBookie.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.24%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 12:40
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.24%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 12:40
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -17.44%E -5.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.63%E -2.06%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 12:56
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-05-26 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-26 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-26 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-26 13:00
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-05-26 13:00
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 21.14%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%6.6%2026-05-26 13:00