Langue:Français
Laura Siegemund v Naomi Osaka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Laura Siegemund (Local)
Prévision 23.93%4.18cote équitable
EV +7.69%
Avantage +1.71%
Kelly +2.20%
Croissance +0.169%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.63%23.87%23.72%27.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.913.904.5028.99%25.55%25.64%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)
Prévision 76.07%1.31cote équitable
EV -0.350%
Avantage -0.267%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.92%76.13%76.28%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.161.241.241.3186.21%80.54%80.65%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Laura Siegemund (Local) : 23.93% ; Naomi Osaka (Visiteur) : 76.07%. Pour Laura Siegemund (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.18. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +7.69%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +7.69%E +1.71%K +2.20%G +0.169% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +7.69%E +1.71%K +2.20%G +0.169% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.24%E -8.68%K -56.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.69%E +1.71%K +2.20%G +0.169% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.00%E -9.40%K -64.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.30%E +1.20%K +1.56%G +0.083% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.96%E -6.58%K -37.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.62%E +0.837%K +1.09%G +0.039% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.72%E -7.26%K -43.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV +3.14%E +0.730%K +0.950%G +0.030% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +1.71%E +0.402%K +0.526%G +0.009% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.72%E -7.26%K -43.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -0.685%E -0.165%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -10.24%E -8.68%K -56.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.88%E -0.459%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.68%EV -2.12%E -0.518%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.32%EV -8.72%E -7.26%K -43.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.68%EV -2.12%E -0.518%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.32%EV -8.72%E -7.26%K -43.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.24%E -8.68%K -56.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.47%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.44%E -5.23%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.47%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.44%E -5.23%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.47%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.44%E -5.23%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 12:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 12:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.08%EV -11.76%E -10.14%K -73.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -7.15%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -6.44%E -5.23%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 12:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.19%EV -7.62%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.81%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.86%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.96%E -6.58%K -37.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.10%E -2.11%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 12:43 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.06%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.06%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.06%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.74%EV -9.54%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.26%EV -0.350%E -0.267%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.48%E -7.97%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -10.50%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -2.63%E -2.06%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -11.45%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 12:57 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -11.45%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 12:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.45%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.63%E -2.06%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 12:56 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.45%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.65%E -3.47%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.65%E -3.47%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 12:43 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.65%E -3.47%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 12:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -12.65%E -3.47%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.87%E -1.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 12:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.15%E -3.30%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 12:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.67%E -4.58%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-26 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.24%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.24%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.11%E -0.855%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 12:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -17.44%E -5.05%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.63%E -2.06%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 12:56 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.14% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 13:00 |