Language:English
Jelena Ostapenko v Ella Seidel
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jelena Ostapenko (Local)
Prediction 78.38%1.28fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -11.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%78.44%78.26%82.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.201.211.2486.96%83.14%82.64%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ella Seidel (Visit)
Prediction 21.62%4.63fair odd
EV +14.57%
Edge +2.75%
Kelly +3.39%
Growth +0.493%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.96%21.56%21.74%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.414.355.3025.00%22.69%22.99%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jelena Ostapenko (Local): 78.38%; Ella Seidel (Visit): 21.62%. For Ella Seidel (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -9.07%E -7.82%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +14.57%E +2.75%K +3.39%G +0.493% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +12.40%E +2.39%K +2.95%G +0.366% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +9.16%E +1.81%K +2.26%G +0.207% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +8.08%E +1.62%K +2.02%G +0.163% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +8.08%E +1.62%K +2.02%G +0.163% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.70%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.30%EV +3.54%E +0.739%K +0.934%G +0.033% | 2.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -9.86%E -8.57%K -65.72%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV +0.515%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -0.350%E -0.076%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -0.350%E -0.076%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.566%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.566%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.566%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.80%E -2.26%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -3.16%E -0.705%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.89%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 15:57 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 15:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.95%EV -2.80%E -2.26%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -10.51%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.37%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.72%E -5.65%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -11.37%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 15:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.47% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.53% | 1.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 2.2% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |