La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jelena Ostapenko v Ella Seidel
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jelena Ostapenko (Local)
Predicción 78.38%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -11.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%78.44%78.26%82.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.201.211.2486.96%83.14%82.64%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ella Seidel (Visitante)
Predicción 21.62%4.63momio equitativo
EV +14.57%
Ventaja +2.75%
Kelly +3.39%
Crecimiento +0.493%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.96%21.56%21.74%23.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.414.355.3025.00%22.69%22.99%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -9.07%E -7.82%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +14.57%E +2.75%K +3.39%G +0.493% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:08 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +12.40%E +2.39%K +2.95%G +0.366% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +9.16%E +1.81%K +2.26%G +0.207% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +8.08%E +1.62%K +2.02%G +0.163% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +8.08%E +1.62%K +2.02%G +0.163% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.70%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.30%EV +3.54%E +0.739%K +0.934%G +0.033% | 2.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Fliff | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -9.86%E -8.57%K -65.72%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV +0.515%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -0.350%E -0.076%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -0.350%E -0.076%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.566%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.566%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.566%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.80%E -2.26%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 15:59 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -3.16%E -0.705%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.89%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 15:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 15:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 15:57 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 15:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.95%EV -2.80%E -2.26%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -10.51%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.37%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.72%E -5.65%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -11.37%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 15:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Novig | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.47% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.53% | 1.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 2.2% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |