L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Jelena Ostapenko v Ella Seidel
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jelena Ostapenko (Local)
Prévision 78.38%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -11.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.24
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%78.44%78.26%82.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.201.211.2486.96%83.14%82.64%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ella Seidel (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.62%4.63cote équitable
EV +14.57%
Avantage +2.75%
Kelly +3.39%
Croissance +0.493%
avec la cote maximale 5.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.96%21.56%21.74%23.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.414.355.3025.00%22.69%22.99%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -9.07%E -7.82%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +14.57%E +2.75%K +3.39%G +0.493% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:08 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +12.40%E +2.39%K +2.95%G +0.366% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +9.16%E +1.81%K +2.26%G +0.207% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +8.08%E +1.62%K +2.02%G +0.163% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +8.08%E +1.62%K +2.02%G +0.163% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.70%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.30%EV +3.54%E +0.739%K +0.934%G +0.033% | 2.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Fliff | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -9.86%E -8.57%K -65.72%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV +0.515%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -0.350%E -0.076%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -0.350%E -0.076%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.566%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.566%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.566%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.80%E -2.26%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 15:59 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.73%E -0.606%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -3.16%E -0.705%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.89%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.97%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 15:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 15:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 15:57 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.51%E -6.36%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 15:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.16%E -4.26%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.95%EV -2.80%E -2.26%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -10.51%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.37%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.72%E -5.65%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -11.37%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.37%E -3.58%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.94%E -4.95%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 15:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.29%E -7.09%K -48.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Novig | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.47% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.53% | 1.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 2.2% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |