Language:English
Hanne Vandewinkel v Madison Keys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hanne Vandewinkel (Local)
Prediction 15.39%6.50fair odd
EV +7.72%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.099%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%15.67%15.41%19.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.056.157.0020.00%16.54%16.26%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Madison Keys (Visit)
Prediction 84.61%1.18fair odd
EV -0.159%
Edge -0.135%
Kelly -0.882%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.91%84.33%84.59%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.121.1890.91%88.71%89.29%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanne Vandewinkel (Local): 15.39%; Madison Keys (Visit): 84.61%. For Hanne Vandewinkel (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.50. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.72%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.099% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 16:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +4.64%E +0.683%K +0.801%G +0.037% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +3.87%E +0.574%K +0.674%G +0.026% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.57%E +0.237%K +0.280%G +0.004% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 16:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 16:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 16:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -0.588%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -0.588%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -0.742%E -0.115%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.82%E -0.611%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.82%E -0.611%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.82%E -0.611%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 16:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -3.82%E -0.611%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.11%EV -4.90%E -0.792%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.89%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.29%EV -5.36%E -0.871%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.71%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -6.13%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -6.13%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -6.13%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -6.90%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -2.70%E -2.35%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 16:42 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -9.21%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.45%EV -9.36%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.36%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -16.44%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -16.44%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -19.06%E -3.62%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.93%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -0.159%E -0.135%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.00%E -0.859%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.00%E -0.859%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:43 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.00%E -0.859%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:42 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.00%E -0.859%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:42 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 16:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -2.70%E -2.35%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-26 16:46 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.79% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.21% | 0.0% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 1.4% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 2.1% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |