La escuela de los momios

Hanne Vandewinkel v Madison Keys

Inicio: 2026-05-26 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hanne Vandewinkel (Local)

Predicción 15.39%6.50momio equitativo
EV +7.72%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.099%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.58%15.67%15.41%19.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.056.157.0020.00%16.54%16.26%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Madison Keys (Visitante)

Predicción 84.61%1.18momio equitativo
EV -0.159%
Ventaja -0.135%
Kelly -0.882%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.91%84.33%84.59%86.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.131.121.1890.91%88.71%89.29%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.72%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.099%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:19
Codere (IT)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +4.64%E +0.683%K +0.801%G +0.037%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 16:20
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +3.87%E +0.574%K +0.674%G +0.026%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:20
Fanatics6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.57%E +0.237%K +0.280%G +0.004%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 16:19
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-26 16:50
Betclic (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 16:49
MyBookie.ag6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 16:19
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 16:39
Unibet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 16:19
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 16:50
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 16:20
NordicBet6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -0.588%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 16:20
Betsson6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -0.588%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 16:20
Marathon Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -0.742%E -0.115%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 16:30
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:40
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:40
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Bally Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:40
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:40
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:40
Neds6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.82%E -0.611%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.82%E -0.611%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 16:20
BetAnything6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.82%E -0.611%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 16:14
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -3.82%E -0.611%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 16:20
GTbets6.18I 16.18%NM 15.11%EV -4.90%E -0.792%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.89%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:40
Fliff6.15I 16.26%NM 15.29%EV -5.36%E -0.871%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.71%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 16:50
Virgin Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -6.13%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 16:50
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -6.13%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 16:50
PMU (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -6.13%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 16:50
1xBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -6.90%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 16:40
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -2.70%E -2.35%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 16:50
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 16:50
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 16:42
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:50
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:40
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:20
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 16:20
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -9.21%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Pinnacle5.89I 16.98%NM 16.45%EV -9.36%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 16:50
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:50
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.36%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 16:40
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -16.44%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 16:50
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -16.44%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 16:49
DraftKings5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -19.06%E -3.62%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.93%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:50
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -0.159%E -0.135%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 16:50
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.00%E -0.859%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:43
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.00%E -0.859%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:43
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.00%E -0.859%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:42
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.00%E -0.859%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:42
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 16:44
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -2.70%E -2.35%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 16:50
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-26 16:46
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig7.25I 13.79%NM 13.79%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.21%0.0%2026-05-26 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-05-26 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%1.4%2026-05-26 16:50
Smarkets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%2.1%2026-05-26 16:50